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January 26, 2010
Rasmussen Generic Congressional: 46% to 37%, Republican Advantage
If I recall correctly (and I probably don't), that is in the range of what the 1994 polls showed just before the election. (In 1994, the polls only broke for Republicans very late.)
From Hot Air yesterday, Democratic-leaning pollsters now say that there is about a 50/50 shot of Republicans taking the House.
I put it at 65-35 myself.
Nine points is big.