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November 02, 2004

Kristol: Exit Polls Systematically Understating Bush's Actual Level of Support?

Just like in 2000, he says that in several states this time around -- like Virginia -- the exit polls indicate a tight race, too close to call, whereas the actual votes indicate a fairly comfortable Bush win.

Food. For. Thought.

Update: Barrone: Republicans squeezing more votes out of Florida than expected

Kondracke: Exit polls predicted Kerry win in FL, 42-48, but actual county voting doesn't match up, and may suggest Bush win

Exit polls in PA ridiculous, showing 58-42 Kerry edge; Kerry will almost certainly win PA, but by smaller margin, suggesting again that exit pollsters have consistently over-sampled liberals

Which makes sense. Look, this is a liberal kind of job -- college kid, etc. -- and they sort of gravitate to each other.

But we'll have to see.

Could be a very long night, kids.

But! My Pet Jawa says the big Democratic counties in Florida haven't reported yet.

You need an awfully big cushion to absorb the huge D votes from Miami-Dade.


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posted by Ace at 08:46 PM

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