Emerson College Poll: Trump Has Lost Some Support Among Independents, But Clings to a Small Lead in All Battleground States
Fox "News" Is Ecstatic As Their Left-Leaning Poll Shows Biden Taking a Small Lead

This is a post-"conviction" poll. It shows the "conviction" has hurt Trump, but not by enough to put Biden ahead.

It's common to see big news make an impact in polls shortly after an event, and then fade in importance. This happens with every school shooter story. Support for what the Gaslight Media always calls "sensible gun safety measures" always increases after such an event.

I don't know if the damage to Trump will persist or if it will fade.

On the plus side,
Trump is still ahead in the swing states.

New Emerson College Polling/The Hill state polls find former President Donald Trump with a slight edge on President Joe Biden in Arizona (47% to 43%), Georgia (45% to 41%), Wisconsin (47% to 44%) Nevada (46% to 43%), Pennsylvania (47% to 45%), and Michigan (46% to 45%), while Biden splits with Trump in Minnesota (45% to 45%).

Minnesota is normally not a swing state, but now Trump is tied there. Minnestota was famously the last blue state holdout for Walter Mondale when Reagan won 50 of 51 states (including D.C.) in 1984.

"In our first polling in several key swing states since Trump's conviction last month, there has been little movement, with support for both Trump and Biden staying largely consistent since November," Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. "Notably, results fall within the poll's margin of error."

"Independent voters break for Trump in all seven states -- however, there has been some movement among these voters since April," Kimball said. "In Arizona, Trump's support among independents dropped five points, from 48% to 43%. In Michigan, Trump's support dropped three, from 44% to 41%, and in Pennsylvania, Trump dropped eight points, from 49% to 41%. Biden lost support among independents in Georgia, by six points, 42% to 36% and Nevada, by five, 37% to 32%."

Democratic senators are running around an average of two points ahead of Biden.

Fox News somewhat gleefully reported on a poll that put Biden ahead of Trump nationally, 50-48. That poll had Trump up by 1 in November. The pollster admitted that the numbers hadn't shifted much, and that it could be statistical noise. But I thought I should mention that poll showing a slight bump for Biden.

posted by Disinformation Expert Ace at 01:06 PM

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