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October 21, 2022
Election Round-UpA McLaughlin Poll puts the GOP up by 4. An Emmerson College poll puts the GOP up by five, and also says that Biden's approval rating has collapsed, falling ten net points in a month. Republicans now lead 46-41 on the congressional generic ballot, nationally. Last month, according to Emmerson, it was tied 45-45. Biden's job approval was supposed 45-49 last month, or net -4. Now it's collapsed to 39-53, net -14. "Among those who say they are 'almost certain' they will vote this November, congressional Republicans lead by ten percentage points, 51% to 41%. Among those who say they will only 'probably' vote, Democrats lead by eleven percentage points, 45% to 34%," Kimball noted. Speaking of the Midwest, David Strom expects Republicans to win the governorships in Wisconsin (!), Minnesota (!!), and even Michigan (!!!). Kicking Gretchen the Witch out on her narrow ass would make my night. Another poll, this one by McLaughlin Associates, says the GOP is up by 6. Three out of the four polls in the past few days have put the lead from 4 to 6 points. I think that size of a lead is confirmed. And, once again, a national lead in the generic congressional understates how well the Democrats are doing in the districts actually in play. For example: Democrats are now moving money from seats once believed "safe" which are now considered lost to protect seats which were once considered ultra-safe which are now considered threatened. Case in point: the Democrats are pulling money from a district Joe Biden won by NINE POINTS, apparently believing this seat can no longer be saved, in order to spend that money to save a seat that Joe Biden carried by THIRTEEN POINTS. Seats Joe Biden carried by thirteen points (!!!) are now where the sandbags are being stacked. Everything downshore of those is being conceded to the Red Tsunami. Oh: and this is happening in Oregon. ![]() Now there may, of course, be other factors besides how Democratic each district is. Perhaps the D+13 district just features a particularly strong Republican challenger. Maybe so many people have already voted in the one district through early voting that Democrats don't think it's worth advertising there. But... sure doesn't look good for Democrats. It looks like Democrats have decided that anything that Joe Biden carried by ten or fewer points is lost to the Red Wave. DeSantis is up by... 11. And Rubio by 6. Per a Florida Atlantic University Poll. ![]() InteractivePolls @IAPolls2022 The Trump/DeSantis presidential comparison is of Florida voters. Meanwhile, Charlie Crist being a simpering clusterf**k of a metrosexual failure is causing all sorts of stresses for his beleaguered staff: ![]() MIAMI -- The manager of Charlie Crist's Florida gubernatorial campaign was arrested in a domestic violence case a day before he resigned from the campaign, NBC News has learned. Analysts say that Charlie Crist is now only 43 days from overdosing on ketamine in a seedy hotel room while wearing nothing but lube and merch for an up-and-coming K-pop boyband.
Not this year: InteractivePolls @IAPolls2022 Maybe I won't attempt to follow the example of "Beto" O'Rourke into political success and riches. (Though he does raise money Hannover Fist every two years.) InteractivePolls @IAPolls2022 And... in one poll, Zeldin just took a teeny tiny little lead. ![]()
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Welcome Back My Friends, The ONT, It Never Ends
Sportsdogs Cafe Quick Hits Rand Paul Saves Joni Ernst From Choking to Death Whistleblower: CIA Analysts Determined that Covid-19 Was Manufactured In the Wuhan Lab -- But Were Then Bribed to Change Their Position Ireland's Political Class is Tripling Down: You Are Not Allowed to Say That the Permanent Welfare Case Who Went Into a Stabbing Frenzy in a Nursery is Foreign-Born and Was Due for Deportation in 2003 It's On: Nelson Peltz Announces New Proxy War Against Disney's Woke Incomptent Leadership Hamas Admits Guilt in Terrorist Attack on Jerusalem Bus Stop Which Killed Three, Wounded 11 OUTRAGEOUS: ABC "NEWS" ILLUSTRATES A STORY ABOUT A HAMAS TERROR ATTACK WITH A PICTURE OF CRYING PALESTINIANS Bank Investigator Blew Whistle on Chinese Payment to Hunter Biden Which Eventually Turned Into $40,000 Check for Joe Biden, Citing It As "Unusual" and a Possible Case of Influence Peddling The Morning Rant: Minimalist Edition Search
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