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May 23, 2022

¡Aye, Dios Mio! FJB Hits 60% Disapproval With Lantinexexexes

¡Ayúdemi! Joe Biden se ha caido y no puede levantarse!

Three-fifths of US Hispanics dislike the job President Biden is doing, according to a new survey out this week -- yet another sign of widespread discontent as Americans grapple with the ongoing border crisis, baby formula shortage and skyrocketing inflation.

The Quinnipiac University survey published Wednesday found that just 26% of Hispanics approve of Biden's performance, while 60% disapprove and 13% said they did not know or had no opinion.

The survey interviewed 1,586 adults, including 132 self-reported Hispanics. The margin of error among the group was 8.5 percentage points.

Despite the small sample, the poll result marks a reversal from the fall of 2020, when Biden won Hispanic voters by a 2-to-1 margin over Donald Trump.

In addition, a similar survey done by Quinnipiac at this time last year found that 55% of Hispanic voters approved of Biden while only 29% disapproved.

The poll shows Democrats losing the midterms, of course:

Guy Benson @guypbenson

Biden overall approval 35/57, GOP +4 on generic ballot in this Q-poll

There was bad news for Biden in last week's polling, too: 75% of voters say we're on the wrong track.


Politico published a memo from Democrat pollster Doug Sosnik which argues that the last possible chance for Biden to change perceptions in time for the November elections is the beginning of summer-- and obviously we're right on the cusp of that.


His full memo is here.

He allows for one possible chance for Democrats to save themselves: a massive surge in interest in abortion rights.

For the past six months, over 70% of the public thinks that the country is headed in the wrong direction.

This sense of pessimism in the country has dragged Biden's job approval down to 39%, a significant drop since last summer. The President's low job approval has been driven by a lack of confidence in his handling of a variety of economic and social issues.

If past elections are any indicator, we are heading into the final stage of the election period when voters are beginning to lock in on their views of the state of the country and their expectations for the future. It is during this period - and not the final days of an election - that the public settles in how they are going to vote.

The President's job approval during this stage is the best proxy to determine current levels of support for the party in power. And that window is closing rapidly. In the last four midterm elections, by June the public had made up its mind about the leadership in Washington and how they were going to vote in November. According to Gallup, Trump's 39% job approval in early February 2018, Obama's 41% approval in June 2014 and 45% approval in June 2010, and Bush's 38% approval in March 2006 all matched their job approval on Election Day.

As might be expected based on the incumbents' anemic numbers, the President's party suffered significant defeats and lost control of at least one branch of Congress in all four of those midterm elections.

That is why the stakes are so high as we enter this final period critical for the Democrats to seize the pending Court decision on Roe vs Wade as a way to alter the trajectory of the election. If they are not successful in reframing the terms of debate for the midterm elections around the pending decision by the Supreme Court on Roe, we will look back at Biden and the Democrats' failures last summer and early fall as the reasons for their electoral defeats this November.


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posted by Ace at 05:01 PM

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