Intermarkets' Privacy Policy
Support


Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!


Contact
Ace:
aceofspadeshq at gee mail.com
Buck:
buck.throckmorton at protonmail.com
CBD:
cbd at cutjibnewsletter.com
joe mannix:
mannix2024 at proton.me
MisHum:
petmorons at gee mail.com
J.J. Sefton:
sefton at cutjibnewsletter.com


Recent Entries
Absent Friends
Bandersnatch 2024
GnuBreed 2024
Captain Hate 2023
moon_over_vermont 2023
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021
Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups






















« TRUMP WINS FLORIDA | Main | CNN Walks Back Its Virginia Call »
November 03, 2020

Trump Takes Florida. Is Georgia Next?
Did Fox Blow Its Virginia Call?!

Called by Newsmax.

Update, from my Florida polling expert: Trump won in 2016 by 1.2%. My expert predicts a 3+% win this time. He points out that no matter who wins in Florida, it's a razor-thin margin.

Except this time.

If Trump has extended his lead in Florida -- and remember, supposedly all those seniors in Florida were going to turn on him due to covid -- it seems likely he's keeping or extending most of his other 2016 vote levels.

A commenter pointed out that the NYT "needle" had Trump with a 78% chance of winning Georgia.

Which was supposedly a solid prospect for a Biden pick-up. Supposedly it was tight as a tick. Anyone's ballgame.

If Georgia is a fairly solid Trump win -- we'll have to see about that -- what the hell do we say about the polls?

More:

The New York Times just increased Trump's chances of winning the whole election from a mere 7% to 29%.

Anyone else having a feeling of deja vu?


More: A friend tells me that Chris Wallace is "spinning like a top," and greets the news that Trump is pounding Biden in Florida by saying, "Oh well, Biden didn't need it anyway."


Update: Jordan Schaechtel has gone county by county through Virginia, and says Trump is outperforming his 2016 level everywhere.

@JordanSchachtel

Going through the county by counting numbers in Virginia, it certainly seems like VA is IN PLAY. What am I missing? Trump is outperforming his 2016 numbers (lost by 4.9%) everywhere.

Trump is currently outperforming his 2016 totals in Northern Virginia (deep blue area) by a significant margin


And he's crushing it outside of the beltway. Way higher % than 2016 (he lost VA in 2016 by 4.9%)

Will Fox have to retract its Virginia call?



digg this
posted by Ace at 08:29 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
Don Black: "Constitution says President 'shall have Power to g ..."

Count de Monet: "@351 Count de Monet-I say that after a heavy leg d ..."

SMOD: "Migrants in Brunswick, Maine have been living rent ..."

Reforger: "What is taking this NY jury so long? Posted by: r ..."

[/b][/s][/u][/i]muldoon: "re rationing: I take no joy in saying, "I tol ..."

Steve_in_SoCal : "Goff is OK. He blew that playoff game last year P ..."

TheJamesMadison, trying to figure out Joel Schumacher: "380 It was widely stated during the run-up to pass ..."

redridinghood: "Wow. Dade Phelan is out as Speaker in Texas. So ..."

SMOD: "🚨#BREAKING: A North Carolina resident requ ..."

[/b][/s][/u][/i]muldoon: "It was widely stated during the run-up to passage ..."

TheJamesMadison, trying to figure out Joel Schumacher: "374 I question it. The draft dodgers were obviousl ..."

FenelonSpoke: "Posted by: Question Authority bumper sticker at De ..."

Recent Entries
Search


Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64