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April 23, 2020

All Fifty States Are Either At Their COVID Peak, or Past It

Trump press conference scheduled for 5pm.


Good news. One would like to see the 15 states currently at their peak of infection to be past their peak of infection, but that should happen soon.

The other 35 states are now on the declining part of the much-blathered-about curve.

Silver found that all 50 states are either currently at their peak or beyond.

Fifteen states, including AR, AZ, CA, DE, IA, IL, IN, MN, MS, ND, NE, NH, OH, RI, VA plus D.C., are currently at their peaks. Silver notes that testing has been murky in California. (Increased testing volume is likely a factor in RI.)

Six states are technically beyond their peaks, but the peak has come within the past week so it's hard to say it’s over yet. These include: CT, KS, KY, MA, NC, and SD. (Increased testing volume is likely a factor in CT and MA.)

Five more states have peaks that occurred a week or more ago but have fallen by less than 10% from the peak. These include: GA, MD, NM, NJ, and UT. (Increased testing volume is likely a factor in UT.)


Eight states have fallen by 10-25% from their peaks. Silver considers this to be "real progress." These include: AL, CO, MI, NV, PA, TX, WV, and WI.

Eight states have fallen 25-50% from their peaks. These include: FL, ME, MO, NY, OK, OR, TN, and SC.

Finally, 8 states have already fallen more than 50% from their peaks. These include: AK, HI, ID, LA, MT, VT, WA, and WY.

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posted by Ace at 05:05 PM

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