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April 09, 2020
Institute Testing Californians for Antibodies, to Determine How Widespread Coronavirus Is
If the disease came over earlier than we thought, and therefore more people contracted it than we thought, it could mean 1, it's not as deadly as we thought and 2, the population has acquired a fair amount of "herd immunity."
Victor Davis Hanson is part of this study.
The hypothesis that COVID-19 first started spreading in California in the fall of 2019 is one explanation for the state's lower than expected case numbers.
...
"Something is going on that we haven't quite found out yet," said Victor Davis Hanson a senior fellow with Stanford's Hoover Institute.
Hanson said he thinks it is possible COVID-19 has been spreading among Californians since the fall when doctors reported an early flu season in the state. During that same time, California was welcoming as many as 8,000 Chinese nationals daily into our airports. Some of those visitors even arriving on direct flights from Wuhan, the epicenter of the coronavirus outbreak in China.
"When you add it all up it would be naïve to think that California did not have some exposure," said Hanson.
For years California has been the No. 1 travel destination for Chinese tourists in the United States. Even after the U.S. halted flights from China this winter Chinese travelers were still able to come to California on flights from Europe and Canada.
Hanson said through all of this the Chinese have been disingenuous about the timing of the initial outbreak of COVID-19.
"They originally said it was in early January, then it got backdated to December and then early December and now they are saying as early as November 17," said Hanson.
If Californians were exposed earlier than the rest of the country to COVID-19 we may have had a chance to build up some herd immunity to the disease. We won't know if that is the case until results from the Stanford Medicine study come back.
A friend keeps wondering if coronavirus was spreading in China much earlier than China admits, and if, therefore, a major vector of transmission to the US was the visiting delegation of NBA players and corporate staffers and assorted in-flight entertainment options (travelling whores).
Trump's task force presser will start soon.