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February 26, 2020

Rasmussen: Trump Trounces Sanders 50-43... Among Likely Voters

Oh.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds Trump earning 50% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Sanders’ 43%. Seven percent (7%) are undecided.

In order to win, Sanders needs -- and frequently predicts -- young people voting for him in truly unprecedented numbers.

Young people tend to not vote. They're also very likely to claim they're very likely to vote, when in fact... they're not likely at all.

Young voters make Sanders look better in polls than in reality.

Young voters could be so filled with Communist Zeal that they finally start showing up on election day.

But here's the problem:

If young voters are supposedly ready to Bern America Down in record numbers on election day, why are they continuing to not show up to vote in primaries?

Yesterday the NY Times reported there is no sign the Sanders campaign has expanded the electorate in the first three state contests:
In Iowa, for instance, turnout for the caucuses was lower than expected, up 3 percent compared with 2016, and the increase was concentrated in more well-educated areas where Mr. Sanders struggled, according to a New York Times analysis; in the Iowa precincts where Mr. Sanders won, turnout increased by only 1 percentage point.

There was no sign of a Sanders voter surge in New Hampshire either, nor on Saturday in Nevada, where the nearly final results indicated that turnout would finish above 2016 but well short of 2008 levels, despite a decade of population growth and a new early voting option that attracted some 75,000 voters.

It's the Fermi Paradox: If there are so many of them out there... why aren't they showing up?

Incidentally, Trump is more popular than Obama was at this point of his presidency, and Obama won. Pretty easily.


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posted by Ace at 02:00 PM

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