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February 21, 2020

Emerson Poll Shows Trump With +4 Positive Job Approval Rating, 48 to 44

I think that 48-49% job approval pretty much guarantees reelection. Obama managed it with less. It's just not true that all of the people who give Trump a negative job approval will vote against him -- some number of them will find the Democrat Socialist he's running against worse.

The poll also shows Trump beating every single Democrat in a national election, except for, alas, Sanders.

But there, it's only a 2% difference within the margin of error, 51 to 49.

And of course this is all before a billion dollars' worth of ads about socialism and Honeymoons in the Soviet Union.

More from the poll:

President Trump's job performance rating of +4 points is the highest it has been since he took office. This month’s poll finds him at 48% approval and 44% disapproval, up from last month's 47% approval and 48% disapproval. Emerson College Polling found Trump at 48% approval in December 2019, November 2019, and February 2017 as well but his disapproval numbers are lower now than they’ve ever been before. It also appears that there is no appetite within the GOP for a different nominee, as 91% said they would vote for Trump for the nomination in 2020.

In potential head-to-head match-ups, Trump leads 4 of his 5 democratic rivals, trailing only against Sanders 51% to 49%. The President leads Biden 52% to 48% and leads Bloomberg, Buttigieg, and Klobuchar 51% to 49%.


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posted by Ace at 01:03 PM

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