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February 21, 2020

The Popular Vote Compact – A Weapon To Be Used Against Republicans That Would Never Be Honored If It Elected A Republican & Lock Up the "Snow Blower Vote"

There is much talk again about The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (“NPVIC”) due to Virginia’s House of Delegates passing a bill that would award the state’s presidential electoral votes to whichever candidate wins the national popular vote. (This would only become law when enough states join the compact to ensure 270 electoral votes – the number needed to win the presidency.) If it becomes law in Virginia, the NPVIC would now include states totaling 209 votes.

There are many reasons why the NPVIC is awful, including: an incentive for ballot box stuffing in corrupt one-party jurisdictions, an incentive to keep ballot-harvesting after an election, national recounts, a betrayal of our founders’ federalist intentions, etc.

But the main reason to oppose the NPVIC is because it will never – NEVER – be employed if a Republican wins the popular vote while losing the electoral vote. It’s a reactionary law from partisan Democrats who are still litigating the 2000 and 2016 elections.

If the NPVIC hits its 270-vote threshold and is in place for the 2024 election, there is a 0% chance that the blue states who signed the compact would cast their electoral votes for Mike Pence if he won the popular vote. There would suddenly be great soul searching on the left of how our founders actually had it right after all. There would be reminders that unfaithful electors are a great tradition in this country, and that the fate of the country now relies on unfaithful electors. Federal judges in Hawaii would be petitioned to issue a national injunction against the NPVIC so as to liberate blue state electors to vote for the actual winning Democrat candidate in their state. Editorial boards would issue profound editorials acknowledging they were wrong to support the NPVIC, but late is better than never when admitting their error, therefore this “constitutional crisis” demands fidelity to the constitution, not to the NPVIC.

Think about the filibuster, especially regarding judges. The Democrat/media echo chamber all agreed that the filibuster was essential to stop the tyranny of George W. Bush. Soon thereafter – during Obama’s presidency - the same Democrat/media echo chamber all issued mea culpas expressing a very principled change in their stance on the filibuster. They all now agreed that if the filibuster wasn’t eliminated, we’d have a constitutional crisis. Of course, the only principle in play is that Democrats must always win and Republicans must always lose.

Under the popular vote compact, there are four possible scenarios. Three of them would put a Democrat in the White House.

1) Republican wins an electoral vote majority and also wins the popular vote.
2) Democrat wins an electoral vote majority and also wins the popular vote.
3) Democrat loses the electoral vote but wins the popular vote. The NPVIC makes the Democrat the winner.
4) Democrat wins the electoral vote but loses the popular vote. This is the scenario we are discussing. The NPVIC would suddenly not be operable any more and the Democrat would win.

As Ace often points out, laws that are only applied to one side are not laws at all, they’re weapons. The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is a weapon that would only be used against Republicans.

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