WaPo/ABC Poll: Trump Statistically Tied With All Democrats
Gallup: Public Satisfaction Up Bigly Over Last Year of Obama/Biden Administration

Link.

President Trump begins his reelection year in a more competitive position than he was last fall against potential Democratic challengers, aided by rising approval for his handling of the economy, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll.

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Despite Americans' concerns that the economic system favors the wealthy, the latest Post-ABC poll finds that fewer than half are worried about maintaining their own standard of living, a shift from 2016, when most expressed concern about losing their financial footing.

With just over nine months until Election Day, Americans see Trump as a slight favorite for reelection, with 49 percent expecting him to win and 43 percent predicting that his Democratic challenger will prevail.

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The national Post-ABC poll tested Trump in six potential general election matchups and finds that registered voters nationwide are roughly split between supporting the president and backing the Democratic candidates. Neither Trump nor Democrats hold a statistically significant advantage in any matchup.

Former vice president Joe Biden is currently favored by 50 percent of registered voters while 46 percent support Trump. Former New York mayor Mike Bloomberg has 49 percent support to Trump’s 46 percent, also virtually even given the poll’s four-point margin of sampling error among registered voters.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) receives 49 percent to Trump’s 47 percent, while Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) stands at 48 percent to Trump’s 47 percent. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) is tied with Trump at 48 percent. Former South Bend, Ind., mayor Pete Buttigieg is at 45 percent to Trump’s 48 percent.

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The close matchups between Trump and Democrats among registered voters represent a contrast with an October Post-ABC poll in which Biden, Sanders, Warren and Buttigieg all held double-digit advantages over the incumbent.

On impeachment: Don't convict 49%, convict 47%.

Meanwhile, on a range of issues, Americans are much more satisfied with the current state of the country than they were in Obama's last year of 2016, and in many key areas -- from satisfaction with the economy to satisfaction with the level of crime to satisfaction with the readiness of the military -- they are greatly more satisfied.

Or, as Gallup calls it-- the country has "mixed" feelings.

Americans' average satisfaction rating for the 27 issues Gallup has tracked consistently since 2001 is now 47%. This is up three points from a year ago and is the highest since the January 2005 poll.

Today's average satisfaction is roughly on par with the level of the early 2000s. Only in 2002 was the average for this metric substantially higher than it is today. The average 53% recorded that year reflected heightened satisfaction as Americans were in full "rally around the flag" mode shortly after the 9/11 attacks.

@AndrewHClark

NEW POLL: On virtually every big indicator Americans say things are better today than they were at the end of the Obama-Biden presidency.

Economy is better (+22 points), country is more secure (+18 points), the military is stronger (+15 points), streets are safer (+9 points)...

Note that the level of satisfaction rose to 44% just before the 2012 reelections, and Obama won. It had been at a low of about 40% a year before, but rose in that last year before the election.

Now it's at 47%.

posted by Ace at 05:29 PM

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