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October 31, 2019

Poll: Trump Gains On Democrat Challengers

The poll still shows Trump losing to Biden, but, of course, there was a 99.85% chance of Hillary Clinton beating Trump in 2016.

So I'm thinking this understates Trump's support.

And the more people see of Joe Biden, the less they like him.

I expect that trend to continue until he drops out of the race for health or cognitive-function reasons.

In the Morning Consult-Politico poll, Biden's lead over Trump slipped to 11 points, down from 20 points in the same poll from last month.

The poll shows a growing strength for the president in a match-up against Biden, currently the Democratic 2020 front-runner, as Trump previously trailed Biden by as much as 28 points in a Morning Consult-Politico poll in June.

In particular, his lead nationally among independents has all but disappeared, evaporating from an 11-point lead among the group of voters in June to just a 1-point lead today.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) now only leads Trump by 2 percentage points in a hypothetical match-up gauged by the poll, down from an 8-point lead in June, while Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) trails the president by 1 point in her own head-to-head contest, unchanged from last month's poll.

Via Twitchy, which reports on another poll, by Suffolk, that puts Trump ahead (within margin of error) of any generic Democrat candidate.




Via Powerline, here is some recent RNC polling:

Despite Democrats' Attacks, Support for President Trump Has Increased

* In our 17 target states, President Trump's approval has increased by 3 points since Pelosi announced this charade.

* The President's sky-high favorability among Republicans has actually increased, as well.

More Americans Want Joe Biden Investigated Than President Trump

* By a 5-point margin, more voters would like Joe and Hunter Biden investigated for their business dealings in Ukraine than support holding hearings to consider impeachment of President Trump.

* Since March, Joe Biden's image has taken a 31-point hit among Independents. A strong majority now view him unfavorably.

Impeachment Not Popular In Target States

* In our 17 target states, voters oppose Democrats' efforts to remove President Trump from office by a 14-point margin.

* Their support for hearings has dropped since the beginning of October.

* 70% believe this is "all politics" and would prefer Congressional Democrats focus on issues like health care, trade, and the economy.

Impeachment Not Popular Among Independents

* Independent voters nationally oppose Democrats' efforts to remove President Trump from office by a 13-point margin.

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posted by Ace of Spades at 05:22 PM

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