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November 27, 2018

Mississippi Senate Results

Here's PBS' count. I mean, we're all paying for PBS. Might as well use it for something.

Only 2% of the vote is in. Do not lose your chill just because Espy is slightly ahead. You don't have to even begin worrying until about 66% of the vote is in, and even then, there can be huge changes still to come. (Florida had a lot of movement towards the end of the account, if I remember right.)

538 says that the Democrat Espy would need an "unprecedented swing" in voter preference to upset the Republican Hyde-Smith. There's only a run-off because Hyde-Smith didn't get to 50+%, and the reason she didn't get to 50% is that there was another Republican in the race, Chris McDaniel.

Together, the two Republicans won just under 58%. So... about 42% of the public voted for the Democrat. Is he suddenly going to gain 8 points?

posted by Ace of Spades at 09:00 PM

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There's only a run-off because Hyde-Smith didn't get to 50+%, and the reason she didn't get to 50% is that there was another Republican in the race, Chris McDaniel. Together, the two Republicans won just under 58%. So... about 42% of the public voted for the Democrat. Is he suddenly going to gain 8 points? posted by Ace of Spades at 09:00 PM \| Access Comments <script language="javascript" src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/addyn/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=700;cookie=info;target=_blank;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]"></script><noscript><a href="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adlink/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" target="_blank"><img src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adserv/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" border="0" width="300" height="250"></a></noscript>	Recent Comments [/i][/b]andycanuck (hovnC)[/s][/u]: "Maral Salmassi @MaralSalmassi Despite claims made ..." jimmymcnulty: "Are Australian pizzas served upside down. Asking ..." Viggo Tarasov: "Hey, that tweezer thing can really pluck someone u ..." Eromero: "322 German police valiantly confiscating a Swiss A ..." 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