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October 16, 2018

Polls: Blue Wave Receding

CNBC doesn't find Democrats outperforming their normal registration advantage.

CNBC All-America Economic Survey shows no big blue wave in November 3 Hours Ago | 00:52 With economic optimism soaring in the country, will Democrats be able to sweep to power in either house of Congress or will buoyant sentiment help Republicans keep hold of their Congressional majorities?

The latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey offers mixed signals, but leans against a wave Democratic election like that those that swept Republicans to power in 2010 and 2014.

The poll of 800 Americans across the country, with a margin of error of 3.5 percent, found a six-point Democratic lead on the question of who voters will choose in the November congressional elections. The 42 percent to 36 percent margin is not far from what pollsters would expect given the greater percentage of Democratic registered voters.

"A six point differential is not something that's going to cause a big electoral wave," said Micah Roberts, the Republican pollster on the CNBC poll, a partner Public Opinion Strategies. "Economic confidence that people have among a lot of groups is providing a buffer" for Republicans.

And while an ABC poll finds a nine point Democrat lead in the generic congressional poll -- 53-42 -- in the sixty-six districts that are actually competitive, that actually are in play, Republicans lead those by a single point, 47-46.

Guys, don't vote because you believe the Republican Party should be rewarded.

Vote because you hate the progressive totalitarians and dealing them a setback may actually drive them mad.


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posted by Ace of Spades at 07:14 PM

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