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March 29, 2017
Theresa May Triggers Britain's Exit from EUApparently this will happen in 720 days. I guess they have that much time to negotiate the terms of the ouster. The EU -- mostly Germany, I imagine -- insists it will sign no separate trade agreement with a UK that has regained its full sovereignty. It will be treated as just another country, and have no more favorable trade status than, say, Iran. The EU refuses a trade agreement -- which would be mutually beneficial to both the UK and EU -- because they want to make Britain's exit as painful for Britain (and for the EU, if necessary) to discourage the various other states to not follow the UK's lead. The UK wants such an agreement, and suggests that if it doesn't secure one it may withdraw from security agreements it has with the EU. Which would compromise anti-terrorism efforts and, I imagine, might undermine NATO in the bargain.
But I was disappointed to see that would be misleading. Actually, in context, she's arguing that Brussels (or really Berlin) and the UK have a responsibility to all their respective citizens, who would be harmed by a punitive, vindicative Brexit. She's not really declaring "UK First." She's just saying let's put aside hurt feelings, bruised egos, and this silly idea that the abstract idea of "Europe" is more important than the welfare of actual Europeans. Meanwhile, the Scots, who voted against breaking from the UK partly because they wanted to remain part of the EU (Scotland has always sought European allies to balance the UK's power), now want a second vote for independence, and will explore "the next steps" in April. This opinion piece argues that Scotland's independence is on weaker footing now than it was in 2014, because oil revenues (which help keep Scotland afloat) have dropped since 2014, when oil was $90 per barrel, and now is only $45 or so. Add into that Scotland's perpetual debts (subsidized by the UK), and Scotland just might not have the money to really stand on its own feet. Excerpts from her formal notice to EU below: On 23 June last year, the people of the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union. As I have said before, that decision was no rejection of the values we share as fellow Europeans. Nor was it an attempt to do harm to the European Union or any of the remaining member states. That's the part that, to me, seems like a diplomatic way of saying "Be nice or we won't be nice." Later the diplomatically-worded threat is repeated: ... We want that, if you're nice. ... | Recent Comments
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