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March 04, 2016

Trump Holds Slim Lead Over Cruz in Kansas

Some people question if a six point lead is "slim." I think it is, especially in a multiparty race where votes can move fluidly from someone (like, say, Kasich) to someone with an actual chance.

In addition, Trump tends to underperform his polls by a bit, and Cruz tends to overperform his, sometimes by a fairly good amount. In Texas, for example, Cruz had a nine point in lead in the RCP average; he won by something like 17.

Cruz's ground operation is top of class, as is his voter microtargeting outfit.

Obviously that's pre-debate.

By the way, I'm going to phone it in for the rest of the day, more than usual. Long days on Tuesday and Thursday, and we have a clutch of primaries tomorrow.

I'm going to put up open threads and stuff.

Cruz announces the openings of ten campaign offices in Florida, by the way.

posted by Ace at 03:19 PM

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Cruz's ground operation is top of class, as is his voter microtargeting outfit. Obviously that's pre-debate. By the way, I'm going to phone it in for the rest of the day, more than usual. Long days on Tuesday and Thursday, and we have a clutch of primaries tomorrow. I'm going to put up open threads and stuff. Cruz announces the openings of ten campaign offices in Florida, by the way. posted by Ace at 03:19 PM \| Access Comments <script language="javascript" src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/addyn/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=700;cookie=info;target=_blank;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]"></script><noscript><a href="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adlink/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" target="_blank"><img src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adserv/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" border="0" width="300" height="250"></a></noscript>	Recent Comments [/i][/b]andycanuck (hovnC)[/s][/u]: "Maral Salmassi @MaralSalmassi Despite claims made ..." jimmymcnulty: "Are Australian pizzas served upside down. Asking ..." Viggo Tarasov: "Hey, that tweezer thing can really pluck someone u ..." Eromero: "322 German police valiantly confiscating a Swiss A ..." 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