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March 01, 2016

First Results In

The Decision Desk should have more.

So far, here are Fox News' calls. First, on the GOP side.

Trump wins Georgia, with a "comfortable" lead. Cruz and Rubio battling for second.

In Virginia, it's too early to call. Trump and Rubio are in the lead. Cruz is in third.

In Vermont, it's too early to call, but it's a battle between Trump and... Kasich.

On the Democrat side, Hillary easily beats Sanders in Georgia and Virginia. Sanders easily beats Hillary in his home state of Vermont.

One interesting possible insight. I always look to see what dribbles out from commentators, who might know more than the news people are willing to say.

Newt Gingrich, who has been pretty pro-Trump lately, is now saying that Trump should win everything, except for Texas, Minnesota, and 2-3 other states (I think he said Tennessee and Oklahoma, maybe he said Virginia).

He said Trump would have a "very good night" if he won everywhere except for those.

That interests me because I had assumed before tonight that the only state in real doubt was Texas (and maybe the Minnesota caucuses).

But now a guy who seems pretty pro-Trump is spinning a victory even if Trump loses four or five states.

What that says to me is that the race is closer in these states than we had previously believed.

On the Other Hand: Establishment booster Brit Hume says "we're looking at one guy coming out of tonight with a big lead, and there's no two ways about that."

Who knows. Maybe both men are playing down expectations for their team.

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posted by Ace at 07:04 PM

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