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July 28, 2014

Okay So Here's The Good News -- We're All Doomed

Hillary Clinton is polling better with White voters than any Democrat since Carter. (Who did reasonably well with White voters.)

Dave Weigel noticed this important sub-finding.

Obama, who won only 39 percent of the white vote in 2012, is swooning because he's lost even more of it. But Clinton's grabbing 46 percent of the white vote. That's better than Obama did in 2008 (43 percent), better than John Kerry did in 2004 (41 percent), better than Al Gore did in 2000 (42 percent). It's even better than her husband did in 1996 (43 percent), though that result—like the 1992 result—is skewed by the presence of Ross Perot. You have to go back to 1976 to find a Democrat who polled better than 46 percent with whites. And when Jimmy Carter narrowly defeated Gerald Ford, the electorate was 89 percent white overall. In 2016 it's likely to be closer to 70 percent white. In 2016 a Democrat who wins only 40 percent of the white vote and holds close to Barack Obama's totals with nonwhites can win easily.

So we now know the secret source of Hillary's high standing in the polls: Racism.


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posted by Ace at 06:30 PM

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