Intermarkets' Privacy Policy
Support


Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!



Recent Entries
Absent Friends
Bandersnatch 2024
GnuBreed 2024
Captain Hate 2023
moon_over_vermont 2023
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021
Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups





















« On Maximalist Demands | Main | "Guardians of the Galaxy" Trailer Released »
February 19, 2014

I Love You, Government, Part II: The Official Weather Forecast Failed to Predict a Tough Winter

Prediction is a tough thing.

I don't really think it's terrible that government meteorologists failed to predict how tough, cold, and snowy this Global Warmening winter would be. Predicting the future, like hitting a curveball, is hard.

But, of course: I'm a bit skeptical when they move straight from one near-term failed prediction to a long-term prediction, also failed, at least for the last 17 years, and tell me "Serious You Guys you have to trust on this, the Science is Settled."

Surprised by how tough this winter has been? You’re in good company: Last fall the Climate Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted that temperatures would be above normal from November through January across much of the Lower 48 states. This graphic shows just how wrong the official forecast of the U.S. government was:


I don't even know what the hell this means
but this article says it's all f***ed up and its sh*t's all r****ded

The big red blotch in the top map represents parts of the country in which the Climate Prediction Center forecast above-average temperatures. The frigid-looking blue blotch in the bottom “verification” map shows areas where temperatures turned out to be below average.

“Not one of our better forecasts,” admits Mike Halpert, the Climate Prediction Center’s acting director.


...

Climatologists are trying to use their big miss this winter as a learning experience.

...

Oh that's lovely, I was wondering when they would.

I didn't quote a part of the article that notes that the accuracy of weather predictions is rated on a scale running from -50 to +100. Yeah I know, whatever. Well, the prediction about the first half of winter scored a -22 or -23.

For the latter half, they're now nearly "zero-ish" in terms of accuracy. So, big win on that big goose-egg.


digg this
posted by Ace at 02:21 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
somedood: ""And indeed, as far as the guy being bullied, a nu ..."

LenNeal: "I use the Mobil synthetic because it's the leftove ..."

Unknown Drip Under Pressure: "[i]DNYUZ: Colombia Faces a New Problem: Too Much C ..."

Mr Aspirin Factory, red heifer owner: "Ouch baby. Very ouch. Posted by: blaster Read ..."

polynikes: "Posted by: Warai-otoko at July 14, 2024 09:53 PM ( ..."

[/i][/s][/b][/u]blaster: "[i]856 When seconds count, the cops are only right ..."

The Paolo: "I can’t take the screaming women. Posted by ..."

Weasel: "Posted by: Moron Robbie - FIGHT FIGHT FIGHT at Jul ..."

BurtTC: "DNYUZ: Colombia Faces a New Problem: Too Much Coca ..."

LenNeal: "Who TF actually for real even looks for a 55 gallo ..."

Mr Aspirin Factory, red heifer owner: "Damn. Gun Thread record? ..."

Warai-otoko : "No commentary, no hype, just play unvarnished demo ..."

Recent Entries
Search


Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64