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November 11, 2012

About Those "Massive Vote Fraud" Allegations

There are lots of rumors of >100% of registered voters turning out in precincts all over the country. I haven't looked into all of them, but I suspect most are as ridiculous as the one concerning St. Lucie County, Florida (Allen West's district).


Ummm, no. As the Shark Tank explains,

Reports that there is over-voting in St. Lucie county is speculative. The candidates and amendments took up two voter cards, so some voters just voted on one card and not the other, some voted on both and turned them in, which accounts for the fact that there were more voter cards turned in than actual registered voters.

So the potential "vote" (as it's being calculated in the 141% Internet rumor) is up to 200%. Anything above that, and we have a problem.

This isn't to imply that vote fraud doesn't exist. It does.

But we didn't lose on Tuesday because of it.

[Update] We lost because we allowed our opponents to define us, didn't get our message out and ultimately didn't turn out our voters.

Could the fraud vote have turned the election at the margins? No one will ever know.

But in this economy, the election should have been a blowout - beyond the reach of fraud. To whatever extent there was of it, vote fraud doesn't explain the complete strategic and tactical failure we saw on Tuesday.






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