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August 24, 2012

CNN Poll of Likely Voters: Obama's Ahead (Huh?) 49-47 (MoE); But Romney's Favorables at 50%

John King said that Romney "stepped on" this good news with his Birth Certificate joke.

I wonder if Romney didn't do that on purpose. Since our unserious, unprofessional, unintelligent, partisan press is determined to talk about distractions (given that all substance favors Romney), why not give them a distraction of your own choosing?

If the choice is between Rape!!! and Birth Certificate, isn't it better to talk about Obama's Birth Certificate? Neither is what Romney wants to talk about, but the press is determined to only report on irrelevancies; so give them one that doesn't much hurt you.

Anyway, the poll. It's a deadlock, the 2% lead statistically meaningless. Romney leads independents 48-45 (which itself is statistically meaningless).

According to the poll, 50% of likely voters see Romney in a favorable way, with 46% saying they see him in an unfavorable light. Fifty-two percent say they have a favorable opinion of the president, with 47% saying the see him in an unfavorable way.

Remember when I said that as people were forced to make a decision, these secondary questions such as favorability and "shares my values" would all begin lining up with people's preferences on the Main Question, of which candidate interviewees support? There you go.

Bonus Damage: via @notlenc, Ryan edges Biden on favorability. Biden: 46%-47% (underwater, but statistical tie) Ryan 45%-39% (above water, not a tie).

Will the press finally stop talking about how personally popular Obama is? And what a big draw Biden is to blue-collar voters?

By the Way: I've heard the media is considering not covering Ann Romney's speech. Of course they'll cover Michelle Obama's.

Ann Romney scares them. She is a natural.


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posted by Ace at 04:13 PM

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