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June 14, 2012

Second Poll Confirms: Obama Has Lost His Lead In Blue Michigan

Previously, a EpicMRA poll was the outliner showed Romney up by 1 among likely voters, 47-46. @conartcritic thought that was probably an outlier.

But maybe not. a new poll by Foster McCollum White (PDF) puts Obama up by only 1.41% -- a statistical tie -- and furthermore with registered voters. The poll is automated, but then, so are Rasmussen's, and Rasmussen is accurate enough.

(Note: There is an error in this pdf, dating it from February 27th. However, the release notes Scott Walker's recent win in Wisconsin and Obama's gaffe. The poll is actually from June 12, as it notes in the actual text.)

Here are some quotes:

President Barack Obama and former Mass. Governor Mitt Romney are in a statistical tie making Michigan a serious toss-up state heading into the summer months before the convention. [bold in original]

...

President Obama’s Michigan lead has deteriorated into a dead heat with Republican nominee Mitt Romney. President Obama leads former Governor Romney with a scant 1.41 point margin, 46.89% to 45.48%. Michigan was considered solidly Democrat, but based on the feedback from Michigan respondents, Michigan will likely be a very competitive state.

...

“The past week for President Obama was hurtful to his numbers”, per Eric Foster, chief pollster and President of Foster McCollum White & Associates. “The campaign is very fluid, but the President’s campaign may want to shift its focus towards presenting more of a business case narrative of why voters should re-elect President Obama."

Is this a Republican shop? Seems not.

Foster and Baydoun actually have a reputation for representing Democratic Party interests.

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posted by Ace at 02:58 PM

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