Michael Bloomberg: Why Yes, I'm Banning The Sale of Soda In Any Container 16 Ounces or Larger | Main | Live Wisconsin Recall Debate, Streaming, Now
May 31, 2012

Final? Barrett(D) Internal for Wisconsin Recall:

He still loses, 48-50. No change from the last internal "release".
His supporters try to push the other "findings" which show strong support for Barrett amongst those familiar with John Doe...but Barrett has been hammering and yammering on John Doe since...before the last poll. No change.

Public nonpartisan polling has continued to show Walker leading. The only polling impacting the perception of the race, convienently, are Barrett's and the Democratic push polls from DGA and Lake. Nate Silver, hardly a Walker enthusiast, clears the air on the left's bizarre attack on every public poll yet boast and defense of their clearly biased internals:

Dem poll shows WI-recall tied. Nonpartisan poll has Walker up 7. Relevant fact: partisan polls have a 6-point bias on average.
Yes, there's some residual chance that Barrett pulls off the upset. But don't see any reason to distrust the nonpartisan polling in WI.

Nonpartisan poll after poll after poll has given Walker at least a 5 point lead on the LV screen (his highest is +12 with We Ask America, which also had the largest sample size and smallest margin of error). Sure, Barrett's numbers could be right.
Walker could win it in a squeaker instead of the current mid-single digits. Or of course the unthinkable, but if Republicans turn their GOTV efforts up to 11 that shouldn't happen.

Final projection will be Sunday/Monday, depending on any more public polls released by the end of the weekend. Coverage for the recall results will begin one hour before the polls close in Wisconsin on Tuesday and will carry through until all results are in, sometime early Wednesday.

UPDATED TOTALS ON ABSENTEE BALLOTS (Mailed AND in-person early voting totals): 160,800.
Early in-person voting ends tomorrow, 5pm.
The alleged 30,000 a day for 13 days has failed to materialize, for what it's worth.

Total in 2010: 230,000
Total in 2008 (Democrats are aiming for high turnout): 633,000

MADISON (thru Thu) 15,000 returned/in person
WAUKESHA (CITY) 3100 returned/in person
BROOKFIELD(CITY) 2550 returned/in person (3500 req so far)
MILWAUKEE (OLD NUMBERS)- 15000(through monday) returned/in person
GREEN BAY (CITY) 3700 issued 1000 more ordered (so far)

FINAL Debate link here.

digg this
posted by CAC at 07:13 PM

| Access Comments

Recent Comments
Barky, returning science to its proper role: " And they dared call you deplorable. Posted by: ..."

dyno-elite canned hate: "Beautiful picture. The American flag is kissing Pr ..."

Curious : "So Bourdain bad mouthed the Clintons, then showed ..."

Northernlurker: "Six months today I had my last conversation with F ..."

boulder t'hobo: "What name does Monica Louise Berlin use when she c ..."

hogmartin: "[i]Dammit! Not first! I really needed the set of g ..."

Pete Seria: "Hey, top 50! Yay me ..."

tonypete: "Six months today I had my last conversation with F ..."

boulder t'hobo: "If Boulder agrees on something, it is wrong. ..."

Anon a mouse: "Ahh. Nice. *stretches out* ..."

Mike Hammer, etc., etc.: "The cheapies: Wiki: Air-activated hand warme ..."

Brad Smith: "Microsoft has helped innovate facial recognition s ..."

Recent Entries

Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64