Wisconsin Students May Not Be Reliable Vote in Recall. In Other News Sun to Rise in East Tomorrow, Baffling Astronomers.

Don't tell Barrett about it though. He's depending on exceptionally high levels in Dane, LaCrosse and Milwaukee.

I would say a serious drop-off in participation is going to happen thanks to the new rules. While some devoted kids will definitely file for absentee ballots, a great many won't be aware of the rule changes until it is far too late for them to vote. That will cost the Democrat dearly in counties like LaCrosse and Dane, not enough to flip either by a longshot but to make beating Walker's non-school non-city margin harder to top.

I currently project an 84,000 vote margin out of Dane for Barrett, and a nearly-identical one out of Milwaukee. Waukesha alone will nearly tie out Milwaukee, so Barrett and the Democrats need every last student vote they can get out of Dane and counties like LaCrosse, with no room for error.

Moronette mamawinger has been mentioning the importance of the date of the recall because of this very thing, so kudos to her for beating the drum early.

DailyKos' new PPP poll out of the state will be released this week. I'm interested to see if they show any bounce for Barrett, being they had him trail by 5 last time, 45-50 to Walker. Identical to the numbers Rasmussen published last week.

posted by CAC at 07:38 PM

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