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June 23, 2011

Sabato: Democrats Will Lose The Senate
Rove: Democrats Will Lose The White House

I don't really believe in predictions this far in advance, but people have to fill their things up with content.

He predicts that Republicans are likely to win Republican Senate seats in North Dakota, Missouri, Montana, and Nebraska. He also sees chances for the GOP to take seats in Virginia, New Mexico and Wisconsin. A sweep would give the Republicans 54 Senate seats and make Sen. Mitch McConnell the majority leader.

And in jarring news for the Democrats, he said that the GOP can "compete" and possibly take Democratic-held seats in Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Connecticut, West Virginia, and Hawaii. Additional victories in six of those would give the GOP a filibuster-proof 60-seat super majority that would effectively ice President Obama's agenda, if he's reelected, or greatly boost a GOP president.

Yeah, if we get 59, I'm going to blow a fuse over it, if you know what I mean, and I think you do.

Rove says Obama's the One. Termer.

Among the obvious factors -- the economy is bad and it does not look like it's poised for V-shaped rebound any time soon -- is... well, more obvious factors.

And his health-care reform still holds its unique place as the only major piece of social legislation that became less popular after it was passed. According to yesterday's Pollster.com average of recent surveys, 38% approve of ObamaCare, while its survey average when the bill was passed in March 2010 showed that 41% approved.

And one non-obvious one:

Finally, Mr. Obama has made a strategic blunder. While he needs to raise money and organize, he decided to be a candidate this year rather than president. He has thus unnecessarily abandoned one of incumbency's great strengths, which is the opportunity to govern and distance himself from partisan politics until next spring. Instead, Team Obama has attacked potential GOP opponents and slandered Republican proposals with abandon. This is not what the public is looking for from the former apostle of hope and change.

It plays to his only strength, which is, apparently, the Job Interview Process.

The Job Doing Process, not so much.


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posted by Ace at 05:03 PM

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