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October 29, 2010
Pretty Much Every Analyst Is Giving In And Admitting The Democrats Are About To Be Swept Away
They've been fighting it but there's just too much evidence to the contrary. It's not out of partisan spite but I think most of them just didn't think what they were seeing for so long was or could be true. It's just beyond their experience.
Behold....
Jay Cost continues admits he's losing control and the Hulk is about to smash.
We’re just a few days away from what could be the biggest Republican midterm victory in better than sixty years. The indications are all around us.
The Cook Report says the Democrats are done and it's only getting worse.
The Cook Political Report's pre-election House outlook is a Democratic net loss of 48 to 60 seats, with higher losses possible. A turnover of just 39 seats would tip majority status into Republican hands. The midterm maelstrom pulling House Democrats under shows no signs of abating, if anything it has intensified.
...At this point, only 190 House seats are Solid, Likely or Lean Democratic, while 198 seats are Solid, Likely or Lean Republican, and 47 seats are in the Toss Up column.
Yesterday, Cook moved the Frank-Bielat race from "Likely Democrat" to "Leans Democrat".
Rothenberg...it's going from bad to worse to death for Democrats in the House.
The Rothenberg Political Report Friday forecast a net gain of 55 to 65 seats for the Republicans, with gains at or above 70 seats possible. That's up from Rothenberg's previous forecast of a GOP gain of 45 to 55 seats. The Republicans need a net gain of 39 seats to win back control of the chamber from the Democrats, who have held the House and the Senate for the last four years.
"At this point, there are no signs of a Democratic 'surge,' and some Democrats think that the political environment is deteriorating for the party. Across the country, Republicans are ending their campaigns with calls to 'check' President Obama. Given the mood of the electorate, this is likely to be an effective closing argument," says the Rothenberg Report.
Larry Sabato's prediction is probably the most optimistic for Democrats and he's predicting a blowout for Republicans.
Even at this late date, we see no need to do anything but tweak the total R gains, based on more complete information now available to all. Thus, we are raising the total to +55 net R seats. We consider 47 to be in the ballpark still, but more of a floor than a ceiling. In fact, if you’ll go back to our pre-Labor Day analysis, that’s exactly what we suggested +47 would end up being.
4 days to go and the Democrats are spending it explaining why their party heads are trying to get a black man off the ballot in Florida. Even if he stays, turnout is likely to be depressed helping Republicans statewide there.
4 days to go and the Demcorats are talking about a comedian who is not even the most watched person on his network. But there will be a poetry reading by Sam Waterson and Sheryl Crow will perform, so there's that.
4 days to go, get yourself to an event, get your friends to vote and then rub a liberals face in it.
posted by DrewM. at
11:13 AM
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