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October 06, 2010

Ace: This AP Poll Showing Swing White Working Class Voters Moving To GOP Makes Me Want To Do Something Special
Marco Rubio: I Don't Like Where This Is Heading

Ace: Relax, You'll Like It
Marco Rubio: Now I'm Really Worried About Where This Is Heading
Ace: No I Promise, This Time, It's Awesome

At Hot Air, the bitter clingers -- white working class voters, often considered the core of the "Reagan Democrats" -- moving back to the Party of Reagan.

esperate for jobs and cool toward President Barack Obama, working-class whites are flocking to Republicans, turning a group long wary of Democrats into an even bigger impediment to the party’s drive to keep control of Congress.

An Associated Press-GfK poll shows whites without four-year college degrees preferring GOP candidates by twice the margin of the last two elections, when Democrats made significant gains in the House and Senate. The poll, conducted last month, found this group favoring GOP hopefuls 58 percent to 36 percent — a whopping 22 percentage-point gap.

In 2008, when Obama won the presidency, they favored GOP congressional candidates by 11 percentage points, according to exit polls of voters. When Democrats won the House and Senate in 2006, the Republican edge was 9 percentage points. …

Though accustomed to trailing among working-class whites, Democrats can hardly afford further erosion from a group that accounts for about 4 in 10 voters nationally.

And, as Captain Ed points out, that's adults. Registered voters and likely voters may even show a more dramatic preference. (But caution on that; Allah's starting to wonder if in this oddball year of supercharged conservative-side enthusiasm if the usual idea that the adult sample favors the Democrats still holds.)

Before getting to the special thing for my victim Marco Rubio, let me once again note that We are the wave and none of this is going to happen unless we make it happen.

Sitting back and doing nothing will yield... so-so GOP gains. Sure, we can sit back and take our 30-40 seat pickup; we'll get some more governorships, too, and maybe 7 senators.

But to really win -- to really stick it in and break it off -- requires a dedicated push. It requires people who think of themselves as activists, but aren't really activists -- inactive activists, I guess -- to activate.

Sure, business as usual and favorable trends will get us 30-40 seats. 7 Senate pick-ups. Some statehouses. Some governors.

But to do something big -- something dramatic -- means we have to do more than vote. We have to get others to vote.

So let me once again mention the GOP's dial-40-voters from the comfort of your own home initiative (btw, it doesn't cost you anything). And note that without a dramatic push, great candidates who could win will in fact lose.

That means Sean Bielat loses to Barney Frank.

That means Dr. Rob Steele loses to John Dinglell.

That means Karen Harrington loses to Debbie Wasserman-Shultz.

That means Chip Cravaack loses to Jim Oberstar.

And of course John Dennis will lose to Nancy Pelosi.

This is a big year -- potentially. There could be a wave of such height, mass, and speed that it sweeps all of these jackasses out of Congress and washes them into the streets.

On the other hand, we can all just trust someone else to do it, and let them win, and our guys -- our band of scrappy underdogs -- lose.

I'm going to be doing what I can to do turn-out. I've contacted the RNC and NRCC about a GOTV initiative I have in mind; I don't know if that's going to come off (looks like a no), but even if I can't do my thing, I'm doing something for GOTV.

Contact your local GOP offices now! Find out what you can do over the course of the next three or four weekends to help turn out the vote! And if you can't do that, do consider the option of placing 40 easy-peasy-lemon-squeezy calls from home, and asking a few friends to join you in that.

Anyway, sorry to be nothing but GOTV, but the fact is, we have no organization in these seats we need to win, and so we're going to have to resort to special measures -- heroic measures -- to have a legitimate shot in winning there.

And we can win. We just need to decide we want to.

Anyway, that said, here's something George Orwell (creator of New PuddingSkull ("Quenchy")) directed for us, based on a script by George Orwell and Ace of Spades.

See, told you, Marco. Not menacing at all. Unless you're a liberal.

PS, thanks to Stephen Gutowski at Eyeblast for hosting this.... you can view it at their site, too.



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posted by Ace at 02:18 PM

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