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January 10, 2010

Anti-Flaming Skull: Boston Globe Poll Has Coakley Up 15 In MA Senate Race

What would be the proper equivalent of last night's rare double flaming skull sighting? A Helen Thomas nude pictorial?

Yeah, that sounds about right.

Democrat Martha Coakley, buoyed by her durable statewide popularity, enjoys a solid, 15-percentage-point lead over Republican rival Scott Brown as the race for US Senate enters the homestretch, according to a new Boston Globe poll of likely voters.

Half of voters surveyed said they would pick Coakley, the attorney general, if the election were held today, compared with 35 percent who would pick Brown. Nine percent were undecided, and a third candidate in the race, independent Joseph L. Kennedy, received 5 percent.

PPP who put out last night's poll showing Brown ahead by 1 point says the Globe poll started 5 days before thiers and things might be changing fast. That's a little more Hope in Change than I'm comfortable with.

Philip Klein of the American Spectator says the Globe poll sampled far fewer independents than PPP but acknowledges PPP might be underestimating Democratic turnout.

Me? I want to believe PPP but it's Massachusetts. Even if 15 is the number, that's a hell of a lot closer than I thought it would be. Still, special elections are notoriously hard to predict given no reliable turnout model so I'd say it's still possible Brown can pull it off but...it's Massachusetts.


digg this
posted by DrewM. at 12:25 PM

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