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December 11, 2009

In Full Context: Hiding the Decline. [krakatoa]

Steven McIntyre at Climate Audit (new site is active, so update your bookmarks), has poured pored over the emails, and details the context they provide for the most widely publicized suggestion of malfeasance by IPCC scientists in the ClimateGate scandal.

I'm not going to excerpt any of it, as doing so would only defeat the purpose and the effort painstakingly made in detailing & sequencing the relevant emails and publications.

The ball is now in the court of Jones, Mann, Briffa, et al. whose only defense is to claim that the emails are taken out of context, yet thus far have refused to fill in the blanks with more documentation.

McIntyre's conclusion:

Climate scientists say that the “trick” is now being taken out of context. The Climategate Letters show clearly that the relevant context is the IPCC Lead Authors’ meeting in Tanzania in September 1999 at which the decline in the Briffa reconstruction was perceived by IPCC as “diluting the message”, as a “problem”, as a “potential distraction/detraction”.

I am struck by the wording "diluting the message." It is not improper in itself, but it reinforces the suspicion that at root, the IPCC is delivering a message approved by political committee rather than driven by the actual data.






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