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December 04, 2009

Milftastic: Sue Lowden Leads Dingy Harry by 10

And Danny Tarkanian leads him by 6.

Nevadans aren't warming up to Sen. Harry Reid, despite plenty of early advertising designed to boost his image, a new poll shows.

Just 38 percent of respondents said they had a favorable opinion of the Democratic Senate majority leader, the same percentage as in October and 1 point higher than in August.

The survey of 625 registered Nevada voters by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research suggests the promotional bombardment that Reid launched more than six weeks ago has yet to hit its target.

"I'd be worried," said Michael Franz, an assistant professor at Bowdoin College in Brunswick, Maine, who studies political advertising. "I'd stop if I had aired ads for two or three weeks and it wasn't moving the needle."

According to the poll commissioned by the Review-Journal, 49 percent of respondents had an unfavorable opinion of Reid, while 13 percent were neutral.

...

In hypothetical general election matchups, respondents favored Lowden over Reid 51 percent to 41 percent, with 8 percent undecided. They favored Tarkanian over Reid 48 percent to 42 percent, with 10 percent undecided. The margin of error was plus or minus 4 percentage points.

I was on a conference call with Lowden (weeks and weeks ago) and she talked a lot about Harry Reid's huge campaign warchest -- the most, by far, any politician had ever accrued in Nevada.

All that money and all those ads and people still don't like this worm. One point. One point they moved the needle.

The other thing she hit him with was a double-whammy. The thing is, he spends an awful lot of money, giving out pork to all of his Democratic buddies. But in terms of bringing home the bacon to Nevada -- I forget the number, but Nevada is way down there on the list of federal money brought into the state, per capita.

I thought that was an interesting way to take him on. People don't like pork... except when it's coming to them. So Lowden's going to hit him -- a lot, if her conference call was any indicator -- as being the worst of both worlds, a tax-and-spend liberal who's mortgaging your future to buy elections for other Democrats, but a feckless weakling who can't seem to convince any of his colleagues to bring some of that sweet free federal money to a state that's hurting badly.



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posted by Ace at 05:29 PM

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