Intermarkets' Privacy Policy
Moron Meet-Ups
Any interest in a SoCal Meet-up?
Contact Jim

NY/NJ MoMe: Tentative: August 23rd in Hoboken
Contact CBD

SW Ohio MoMe: 10/20/2018
Contact ibguy

Texas MoMe: 10/20/18
Contact Ben Had
Lie: Government Option Originator, Jacob Hacker, Claims His Statements About Government Option Being Trojan Horse for Single-Payer Are Taken Out of Context | Main | Democrats: No, No, We Want A Bipartisan Health Care Bill. Really, We Do. Please!
August 19, 2009

Another Day, Another Low for Obama Support

Again, a statistically insignificant blip from yesterday of a mere point, which, for all I know, may be due merely to a good Obama day falling off the three day track, or a particularly bad Obama day entering it.

1% is no big shakes. But it is a whole new low of support, at 51%. And once again, the blip is trivial, but the trend is persistent, obvious, and significant.

FYI, Obama's support at Rasmussen creeps up from 49% to 51%. Of likely voters.

I doubt that. Rasmussen will have him at 48% by Monday.

You can group everyone in America into strata depending on overall political ideology and specific political triggers. These groups will "flip" together based upon specific triggers. First come your harder-core conservatives (who never flipped because they weren't on board to begin with), then the squishier varieties who "wanted to give Obama a chance," then the RINOs like Noonan, then the conservative-leaning independents, etc.

AHFF Geoff, who tipped this, sighed as he said "I sense a bottoming." Well, I'm not so sure of that -- I think Obama has a couple of more points to lose, at least.

But it could be we're getting fewer and fewer flips from approve to disapprove based on the triggers -- the circumstances, the gaffes, the unemployment figures, etc. -- we have now.

But I don't see that as a problem. There will be new triggers. Sure, some might flip people back into Obama's camp, but I think most of what's coming will flip more and more strata of voters into the opposition.

The only thing you can confidently predict about the future in politics is that the future will almost certainly be different than the present. Maybe it'll be better for Obama. But I don't think that's the way to bet.

digg this
posted by Ace at 01:33 PM

| Access Comments

Recent Comments
Nevergiveup: "Owner is probably lying and the staff is probably ..."

Iron Mike Golf: "[i]432 426 The movie 13 Hours about Benghazi any g ..."

kallisto: "[i]Stephanie watched Star Trek: Discovery four tim ..."

Moron Robbie - I choose to live my life as a black woman : "I wholeheartedly reject any plan to rename MLK Jr ..."

Soylent Green Corporation: ">>... ALL food is farm to table! Unless it was gro ..."

steevy: "436 It certainly is Vegetable Woodrow Wilson "com ..."

joncelli, because somebody had to: "399 The Supreme Court of the United States today v ..."

Blake - used bridge salesman: "419 Don't hurt the staff for the idiotic owner's b ..."

Warai-otoko: "Martin Luther King Blvd Rosa Parks Parkway Pos ..."

OregonMuse, AoSHQ Thought Leader & Contributing Editor, Vanity Fair Magazine: "[i]426 The movie 13 Hours about Benghazi any good? ..."

JuJuBee, just generally being shamey: "Don't hurt the staff for the idiotic owner's behav ..."

Jak Sucio: "424 Could someone kindly 'confirm' McCain is actua ..."

Recent Entries

Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64