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August 20, 2008

It Looks Like It's Bayh

The last tidbit in the post is the clincher.

Well, not a clincher, really. But it seems Obama's running mate will be Evan Bayh.

Who voted in favor of the War in Iraq.

Obama's attempt to lend himself foreign policy experience by osmosis has led him to select a man who, in his figuring, voted in favor of the worst foreign policy blunder of the past century.

Just to get it out of the way early, I question Evan Bayh's patriotism.

This is a boring, safe choice. So my not-really-serious prediction about the collapsing Obama choosing Hillary seems wrong.

Despite a Zogby poll showing Obama falling by a net 15 points, going from a 47-40 advantage to a 46-41 deficit.

As Hot Air notes (and we all know), Zogby's polls are... interesting. We all suspect, as the Freepers say, he adds "secret sauce" to the polls, weighting on things it's very dangerous to weight on (party identification, for example), and thus showing more dramatic swings and bigger leads than other, more cautious pollsters.

But this is another poll showing a big swing in favor of McCain and against Obama. Something has obviously happened. Obama's lost -- oh, let's just divide by two -- somewhere between 5 and 8 net points over a month or two.

Obama probably should be making a dramatic, high-impact choice for Veep. And McCain should probably be making a safe, don't-rock-the-boat choice. Obama didn't, and I'm guessing McCain won't.

Obama Denies Indiana Trip: Hm.

DrewM. thinks it's dangerous for Obama to lie like that, even in this sort of situation, where lying is, as in poker, more acceptable.

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posted by Ace at 02:50 PM

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