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August 19, 2008

LAT Poll Can Only Manage to Put Obama Up by 2 Among Registered (Not Likely) Voters

A ten point fall since their last poll, but their last poll was almost certainly bullshit in the first place (it "confirmed" Newsweek's ridiculous 15 point advantage -- but both outfits, having claimed that their polls were dead-on and not outliers or just plain goofs, now have to explain why this "huge lead" has now disappeared).

This is interesting. But note Megan McArdle is getting this from McCain's camp.

I've obviously seen the tightening national polls, and what I'm starting to hear is that among likelies and battlegrounds, McCain's gaining a commanding lead. Since I'm hearing that from McCain supporters, however, I've been a little sceptical. Less so after this weekend.

The lead can't be "commanding" or we'd at least see a hint of it in public polls. But it might be there, in a non-commanding fashion.


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posted by Ace at 06:19 PM

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