Top Obama Iraq Adviser: Hey Maybe We Should Stay In Iraq | Main | Claim: A One-Kilo Hoodie Is Bullet-Proof to Anything Short of a High-Velocity Rifle Round
April 04, 2008

UN Climate Experts: Global Cooling Will Continue Through 2008

This is all just further evidence that the earth is boiling over. Note: Link changed. This BBC version of the story is fuller and discusses the warming El Nino and cooling La Nina. Interestingly, it also states that El Nino warmed the world through the eighties. El Nino, La Nina, fucking up world temperatures. Build that wall, Mr. Bush.

Average global temperatures in 2008 are forecast to be lower than in previous years, thanks to the cooling effect of the ocean current in the Pacific, U.N. meteorologists say.

The World Meteorological Organisation's secretary-general, Michel Jarraud, said it was likely that La Nina, an abnormal cooling of sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, would continue into the summer.

If the forecast holds true, global temperatures will not have risen since 1998, prompting some to question climate change theory.

A small number of scientists doubt whether this means global warming has peaked and the Earth has proved more resilient to greenhouse gases than predicted, but Jarraud insists this is not the case and notes that 1998 temperatures would still be well above average for the century.

"When you look at climate change you should not look at any particular year," he told the BBC. "You should look at trends over a pretty long period and the trend of temperature globally is still very much indicative of warming."

"La Nina is part of what we call 'variability'. There has always been and there will always be cooler and warmer years, but what is important for climate change is that the trend is up."

"Variability," in quotes, like he's using some arcane term of art.

Here's my problem: La Nina (or as it used be called, "El Nino," or am I misremembering?) used to be used as a general explanation for unexpected trends in global weather. If it gets hot, it's La Nina. If it gets cold, it's La Nina.

But that was before the Global Warming craze (and I use that word in its literal meaning). Since the Global Warming craze, we have been informed that the eighties/nineties cooling could not be due to any natural factor, such as La Nina, and that such natural factors were all inadequate to explain such "major changes" in the climate. Only man-made effects such as CO2 (The Invisible Killer) could possibly explain the eightes-nineties warming trend.

Now we have what seems to be a decade long trend in cooling and suddenly La Nina is back with a vengeance. Now La Nina is the convenient natural explanation of not only why the world is cooling, but in fact for why all of the predicted warming is not only not taking place but in fact entirely overwhelmed by the natural forces of cooling.

So I guess my question is this: If La Nina is a handy explanation for the 10 year drop in global temperatures, why is La Nina or a similar natural effect not also a perfectly adequate explanation for the 15-20 year increase in temperatures? Why are natural forces sufficient to explain drops in temperature but only CO2 (The Invisible Killer) can explain any increases?

And why is it that yet again a one or two (or ten!) year record of cooling is too short a span from which to draw any conclusions, but a twenty year record conclusively establishes global warming?

Anyone get the feeling the AGW lobby is, like Indiana Jones, "just making this up as [they] go along"?

Via Hot Air.

El Nino vs. La Nina: Robert tells me they're different phenomena, one causing warmth (I guess) the other cooling.

Same difference. If La Nina can not only offset greenhouse gas warming but push temperatures lower than long-term averages, why is it that El Nino or other natural warming effects cannot be responsible for the warming we're all supposed to be so worried about?

digg this
posted by Ace at 11:26 AM

| Access Comments

Recent Comments
Skip: "I was out at least 45 minutes yesterday, set tabl ..."

Skip: "Took a few hours but got it, had to solder a joint ..."

JT: " JT did nap yesterday help? I got lots done after ..."

Eromero: "And thanks for those two drinks at the top, MisHum ..."

Skip: "JT did nap yesterday help? I got lots done after m ..."

My life is insanity: "Glad to hear he's improving. Never a good time to ..."

JT: "Conversely, if something is stupid, inane and bori ..."

My life is insanity: ">>MLii - I thought the way it worked old memories ..."

Skip: "MLii - My dad is improving but still has mucus cra ..."

Skip: "MLii - I thought the way it worked old memories ar ..."

Skip: "I have tried to find something boring if it's inso ..."

My life is insanity: ">>Whenever I have something that I wanna watch or ..."

Recent Entries

Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64