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January 23, 2008
Oh, Dear: Fred Would Have Picked Up All 47 of Louisiana's Delegates Had He Not Dropped Out?
I t seems possible, even likely.
Louisiana's social conservatives created the winning "Pro-life, Pro-family" slate in early January largely because we didn't know if Fred was still going to be a candidate at the time of our caucuses (turns out that he wasn't, by a few hours). Because we had almost all the state's social conservative leaders for Fred, we were also able to stave off Huckabee by use of this "pro-life, pro-family" slate. I was really pleased with the win last night, as it's not easy to beat McCain, Romney, and Paul without a candidate, but that's what we did.
About 90 percent of the pro-family slate was actually Thompson supporters. If Fred were to jump back into the race, he would almost certainly pick up all 47 of Louisiana's delegates (the whole point of LA's complicated system was to have an early vote while still not losing half our delegates like all the other early states have). That would put him AHEAD of McCain in the delegate count and only narrowly trailing Romney.
Is this proof Fred should have stayed in?
Well, with all due respect: Running an organization which was apparently clueless to this fact and thus dropping out hours before one's first actual win seems to indicate the opposite-- he made the right choice. I hate to be a dick about this, but a politician should have a basic competence at politics, for crying out loud.
From Hot Air, which has a fever, and the only cure is more Romney Florida surge!