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September 12, 2004

Should Pollsters Weight Polls By Party ID of Subjects?

This is something that's forever being argued about-- I know that when I see a poll that has a suspiciously-high sample of Democrats in its sample, I discount it.

Of course, right now there are a suspiciously-high number of Republicans in the Time and Newsweek polls, and, while I do partly discount those polls for that reason, I also partly believe them.

Which is, of course, inconsistent. I don't believe one poll because I don't want to believe it; I believe another because I want to believe it.

Dan Rather can tell you all about the power of wanting something to be true. Just ask him in a month, when he's retired.

At any rate, a real live pollster writes to MyDD to explain why his firm doesn't weight by party ID. It's a good introduction to the issue.

posted by Ace at 05:19 AM

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I don't believe one poll because I don't want to believe it; I believe another because I want to believe it. Dan Rather can tell you all about the power of wanting something to be true. Just ask him in a month, when he's retired. At any rate, a real live pollster writes to MyDD to explain why his firm doesn't weight by party ID. It's a good introduction to the issue. posted by Ace at 05:19 AM \| Access Comments <script language="javascript" src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/addyn/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=700;cookie=info;target=_blank;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]"></script><noscript><a href="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adlink/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" target="_blank"><img src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adserv/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" border="0" width="300" height="250"></a></noscript>	Recent Comments rhennigantx: "Christmas Eve Gift ..." fd: ""My father thought that Jimmy Carter, being a Bapt ..." Martini Farmer: "Early PSA: American Airlines is having "technic ..." weft cut-loop[/i][/b] [/s]: "[i]The beige clamshell auditorium with pot plants ..." 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