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May 29, 2004

One Good Poll

Polls don't mean anything at this point and blah, blah, blah.

Everyone knows that polls showing results you don't like don't mean anything, while polls showing results you like are almost certainly accurate and a near-perfect gauge of evolving public sentiment.

This poll, then, is very accurate indeed (requires quick registration).

President Bush leads John Kerry by 6 percentage points in the battle for Ohio, a state that could decide who wins the White House, according to a statewide Plain Dealer poll.

Ohio voters surveyed say they favor Bush over Kerry, 47 percent to 41 percent. Consumer advocate Ralph Nader draws 3 percent, though he has yet to qualify for the Ohio ballot. Nine percent say they are undecided.

Though Bush is given low marks for his handling of the economy and the war in Iraq, those who say they favor him cite his moral character and his stewardship over the war on terrorism and homeland security as reasons.

...

The poll, conducted May 20-25 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research, is based on interviews with 1,500 registered voters who plan to vote in November. The poll, which has a margin of error of 2.6 percentage points, is the largest presidential poll taken in Ohio this year.

47% is not 50.1%, though, which is what Bush will probably need to actually win Ohio. We are waiting for a more accurate poll that shows Bush above 50. That fact keeps this from being cowbell material.

Oh, what the hell. It's Saturday night, and the boss ("Mr. Tranh") isn't around snooping.

Little tiny cowbell for the media finally publishing a somewhat accurate poll:



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posted by Ace at 10:14 PM

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