Polls Are For Strippers But Strippers Seem Genuinely Interested In Me

A new Harris/Harvard X poll has Trump only up by three over Kamala, 48-45.

He had been up seven over Biden, but this poll was taken during the burst of Intense Media Infatuation with Kamala (which will last through the first week of November) and before Trump has deployed his information ads about who this drunk slut is.

Also, up three points still means he'd win the electoral college by a lot.

Furthermore, 48-45 does not include leaners. When you include leaners, he goes up to 52% to 48%, and I do believe that 52% is more than a majority.

Lastly, a commenter pointed out that the partisan split for this poll was 40D, 30R. Gallup recently found Republicans to have an identification advantage over Democrats. +10 D is crazy.

Ed Morrissey:

Even the unsure voters are breaking toward Trump, at least somewhat. The more worrisome data for Democrats are in the charts below, however. Trump holds Republicans to the ticket better than Harris holds her own party in both formulations. In fact, her 87% without leaners should be a red flag for the DNC, suggesting strongly that the party is not as sold on The Anointing as the media claims, even with the full-court press on Kamalot!

Take a look at the indie numbers, too. Trump leads by six points without leaners -- and six points with leaners. One has to wonder whether the sample tilts a bit toward the Dems based on those results plus the party loyalty numbers above. If so, Trump's still scoring an outright majority over Harris, who's attractiveness as a candidate is at its zenith before she's forced to open her mouth about policy.

In the next slide down, we see even more demographic red flags ahead for Harris and the Dems. Trump leads by 12 among men and only trails by four among women 44/48. Trump also wins an astounding 25% of the black vote and 44% of the Hispanic vote, which is slightly lower than in some other polling.

Before we get to issues, one more worrisome result for Democrats: they only have a +3 in the generic congressional ballot without leaners, when anything less than a +5 usually means losses in the House and Senate. And when leaners get added to the mix, it becomes a +4 for the GOP.

posted by Disinformation Expert Ace at 01:23 PM

| Access Comments