US Population Could Shrink for First Time Ever Due to Reverse Migration, "Alarming Data" Shows

The NY Post, everyone. It's "alarming" that illegal aliens are leaving the country.

This "alarming" data comes from the American Enterprise Institute, a left-libertarian propaganda outfit for trillion-dollar corporations which hoodwinks conservatives into thinking it serves anyone but its wealthy plutocrat patrons.

The United States could see its population shrink for the first time ever in 2025 as immigration numbers and birth rates have plummeted, according to a report.

Net international migration to the US in 2025 could drop to as low as negative-525,000 this year, according to an analysis by the American Enterprise Institute. With a net of 519,000 births reported by the US Census last year, the US could possibly lose 6,000 people -- the first population decline in nearly 250 years of American history.

AEI predicts that the net immigration into the US will fall off from about 2.8 million to between 115,000 and negative-525,000, which, even at the lower end, is still a 96 percent fall in international immigration, the Telegraph reported.

Even during the American Civil War -- when some 700,000 Americans were killed -- and during the COVID-19 pandemic, the US population has always increased every year, even if not significantly.

The population decrease has also been compounded by an apparent national "sex recession" -- with America's fertility rate projected to average just 1.6 births over the next 30 years, which is below the replacement rate of 2.1 children per woman, according to the Institute for Family Studies.

The IFS survey found that just 37 percent of men and women were having sex weekly, compared to 55 percent in 1990.

Okay, that part is indeed alarming.

The number of immigrants in the US had already dropped for the first time in 50 years, declining by 1.4 million people in the first six months of 2025 after President Trump kicked off his second term with a major crackdown on illegal border crossings and mass deportation efforts, according to the nonpartisan Pew Research Center.

The Department of Homeland Security has said that 1.6 million illegal migrants have voluntarily left the US since Trump came back to office -- contributing to the massive decline in the immigrant population.

So alarming for AEI's donors! Imagine if they have to pay their workers more! Quelle catastrophe!

Regarding the "sex recess" or baby bust: It's progressives, of course, who are the main drivers of human extinction, as you'd imagine.

Burn-Murdoch wrote extensively about the data at the Financial Times, but his essay sits behind the paywall. He did offer quite a bit of commentary on Twitter this morning about the data and implications of a November 2024 study published by Biodemography and Social Biology. Titled "Demography leads to more conservative European societies," authors Martin Fiedler and Susanne Huber conclude that self-selection may well push Western societies farther to the Right:

Using the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (a total of 66,188 participants from 15 European countries) and the European Gender and Generation Survey (a total of 121,248 participants from 12 countries), we investigated i) whether differences in political attitudes and attitudes toward family values (i.e. attitudes toward homosexual couples, attitudes toward female reproduction) are associated with differences in the average number of children, and ii) whether such an association between fertility and attitudes affects the population share of these attitudes in subsequent generations. We found that in most of the countries analyzed, right-wing (conservative) individuals have, on average, more children and grandchildren than left-wing (liberal) individuals. We also found that the proportion of right-wing individuals increases from generation to generation. Since political attitudes are presumably evolved traits that are socially and genetically transmitted from one generation to the next, these findings may suggest that demographic differences can lead to shifts in prevailing political attitudes. Thus, to some extent, demography may explain longer-term political trends.

posted by Ace at 02:30 PM

| Access Comments