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November 05, 2024

NYT "Needle:" Trump Now Slightly Favored to Win

The New York Times needle is back, but it's paywalled. But here's a snapshot of it some time in the recent past.

Marina Medvin
@MarinaMedvin

New York Times has Georgia leaning toward Trump and Trump likely to win the election by 278 electoral votes.

The NYT needle has PA 53% likely to go to Trump.

Update: Bluebell showed me that the front page of the Times shows the needle.

If any of you have an account, do me a favor a take frequent snapshots on Archive.Is, so I can share them with everyone.

Decision Desk now rates North Carolina 73% likely to be won by Trump.

Remember Fox News pushing the idea that Trump was doing badly in the Indianapolis suburb of Hamilton County, based on the smallest amount of early vote?

Yeah.

Bonchie @bonchieredstate
All that crying about Hamilton County and Trump is now matching his 2020 performance there and winning the state itself by a larger margin than 2020.

DO NOT GIVE HOT TAKES BASED ON THE EARLY VOTE. ITS NOT HARD.

Having any takes based on 5-20% of the vote is a mugg's game.

NYT Needle - Win Probability https://t.co/IyVGmrK31b pic.twitter.com/tdvcqFg5T8
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 6, 2024

Virginia is a lot closer than Harris wants it to be. With 39% of the vote in, she leads only by one.

Uhhhh Virginia? Are we back?

This is with most of the Dem strongholds reporting... pic.twitter.com/gyzj88misf
— John Hasson (@SonofHas) November 6, 2024

Slightly Favored to Win&bodytext=The New York Times needle is back, but it's paywalled. But here's a snapshot of it some time in the recent past. Marina Medvin @MarinaMedvin New York Times has Georgia leaning toward Trump and Trump likely to win the election...&topic=world_news"> digg this

posted by Disinformation Expert Ace at 08:40 PM

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If any of you have an account, do me a favor a take frequent snapshots on Archive.Is, so I can share them with everyone. Decision Desk now rates North Carolina 73% likely to be won by Trump. Remember Fox News pushing the idea that Trump was doing badly in the Indianapolis suburb of Hamilton County, based on the smallest amount of early vote? Yeah. Bonchie @bonchieredstate All that crying about Hamilton County and Trump is now matching his 2020 performance there and winning the state itself by a larger margin than 2020. DO NOT GIVE HOT TAKES BASED ON THE EARLY VOTE. ITS NOT HARD. Having any takes based on 5-20% of the vote is a mugg's game. NYT Needle - Win Probability https://t.co/IyVGmrK31b pic.twitter.com/tdvcqFg5T8 — InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 6, 2024 Virginia is a lot closer than Harris wants it to be. With 39% of the vote in, she leads only by one. Uhhhh Virginia? Are we back? This is with most of the Dem strongholds reporting... pic.twitter.com/gyzj88misf — John Hasson (@SonofHas) November 6, 2024 Slightly Favored to Win&bodytext=The New York Times needle is back, but it's paywalled. But here's a snapshot of it some time in the recent past. Marina Medvin @MarinaMedvin New York Times has Georgia leaning toward Trump and Trump likely to win the election...&topic=world_news"> posted by Disinformation Expert Ace at 08:40 PM \| Access Comments <script language="javascript" src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/addyn/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=700;cookie=info;target=_blank;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]"></script><noscript><a href="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adlink/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" target="_blank"><img src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adserv/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" border="0" width="300" height="250"></a></noscript>	Recent Comments rhennigantx: "“President Trump has talked about replacing ..." neverenoughcaffeine: "GWB at 31 has a better reason then mine. The horro ..." Ordinary American: "Liberals used to make movies and write books about ..." 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