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November 05, 2024
NYT "Needle:" Trump Now Slightly Favored to Win
The New York Times needle is back, but it's paywalled. But here's a snapshot of it some time in the recent past.
Marina Medvin
@MarinaMedvin
New York Times has Georgia leaning toward Trump and Trump likely to win the election by 278 electoral votes.
The NYT needle has PA 53% likely to go to Trump.
Update: Bluebell showed me that the front page of the Times shows the needle.
If any of you have an account, do me a favor a take frequent snapshots on Archive.Is, so I can share them with everyone.
Decision Desk now rates North Carolina 73% likely to be won by Trump.
Remember Fox News pushing the idea that Trump was doing badly in the Indianapolis suburb of Hamilton County, based on the smallest amount of early vote?
Yeah.
Bonchie
@bonchieredstate
All that crying about Hamilton County and Trump is now matching his 2020 performance there and winning the state itself by a larger margin than 2020.
DO NOT GIVE HOT TAKES BASED ON THE EARLY VOTE. ITS NOT HARD.
Having any takes based on 5-20% of the vote is a mugg's game.
Virginia is a lot closer than Harris wants it to be. With 39% of the vote in, she leads only by one.