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ę Lee Smith: Seymour Hersh's Alleged Scoop on Biden's Demolition of the Nord Stream Pipeline Is a Big Miss | Main | Quick Hits Ľ
February 17, 2023

Democrats Have Just Two Big Concerns About 2024:
1. Joe Biden
2. Kamala Harris

John Sexton writes that Democrats are "privately whispering" about Joe Biden's age and the unthinkability of him running again in his 80s.

He quotes Democrat propaganda mill CNN:

Biden's age is "omnipresent" in nearly every conversation, one person involved told CNN, at a time when he's preparing for a reelection announcement that would try to extend his time in the Oval Office until he is 86 years old...

To many top Democratic operatives and officials looking ahead, Biden's age is the top issue of his reelection campaign -- in essence, what he's running against, at least until a Republican nominee emerges, according to CNN's conversations with three dozen White House aides, elected officials, leading Democratic operatives and others beginning to prepare for the race ahead...

Still, voters bring Biden's age up constantly in focus groups. Many veer toward assuming he must be ineffective or being puppeteered: "'brain dead,' 'mush' -- 'dementia' is a word that comes up all the time," said one person who observed multiple focus group sessions during campaigns last year...

Voters young and old often say they can't really believe he's going to run. Mocking him as ancient or asleep has become an easy joke for late night comedians. Many prominent Democrats privately say some panicky version of what Robert Reich, the 76-year-old former secretary of labor, wrote recently: Biden's age is "deeply worrying, given what we know about the natural decline of the human brain and body."

Don't worry, though: Joe Biden's doctor just cleared him for duty (after Biden blew off his physical for months):

bidensphysical.jpg

Signed,

Doctor George Santos, MD

Reaboi gave me that joke.

But anyway, an expert say that a clearly cognitively challenged man is fit as a fiddle. Just like they said about John Fetterman.

So what are you even worryin' about, mate?

Sexton quotes Politico, which notes that the old joke is in fact the reality: People do not want to push Joe Biden out of running, because his obvious, oblivious successor is Kamala Harris, who is manifestly unqualified for the job.

High-level Democrats are rallying to President Bidenís reelection, not because they think itís in the best interest of the country to have an 82-year-old start a second term but because they fear the potential alternative: the nomination of Kamala Harris and election of Donald Trump.

It's not just that she's unqualified for the job. The Democrats love nominating highly, flagrantly unqualified people.

It's that she also can't get the job, because she's so massively unpopular.

Charles Lipson:

Harris is deeply unpopular with independents, who are essential for electoral success (fewer than one in three voters view her favorably), and she is losing popularity among Democratic Party leaders. They see her ineptitude, listen to her word salads, and watch the polls with dismay. The latest evidence of Harris' fading position is a sharply critical article in the New York Times, of all places, filled with anonymous disapproval from senior Democrats, many of whom once supported her. Now, they are worried.

Their fear is that although she'd be a drag on the 2024 party ticket, she's almost impossible to drop. To win, Democrats need enthusiastic support from African Americans, who are likely to be insulted if Harris is dumped. That problem might be averted if she were replaced by another African American. But there are no obvious alternatives. If Harris is replaced, it would likely be by a white or Hispanic candidate.

Such a change would roil a party deeply invested in the politics of racial and ethnic identity, where losing groups are seen as aggrieved victims, winners as "privileged" oppressors. Those divisions are most virulent when they center on America's historic wound of race, and they would be turned inward on the party.


...

These cumulating problems have eroded Harris' popularity. It was over 50% when she and Biden took office. Now, more than half the adults surveyed view her unfavorably, including some 40% who view her "very unfavorably." The flip side of the ledger is no better. Only 14% say they have "very favorable" views; another 22% are "somewhat favorable." These bleak numbers are even worse than Biden's and make her one of the least popular vice presidents in recent history. They also explain why, if Biden runs again, only 39% want her as his running mate.

Harris' unpopularity is not limited to one or two groups. The latest Quinnipiac Poll shows she is substantially underwater with all demographic groups except one. Among blacks, 62% of registered voters view Harris favorably; only 17% unfavorably.

This racial divergence is the crux of the Democrats' predicament.

Would this dilemma disappear if Biden chose not to run? Not necessarily. In an open contest for the nomination, Kamala could well lose to another prominent Democrat, such as Sen. Amy Klobuchar, Gov. Gavin Newsom, or Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. If Harris lost after sharp attacks and primary voting split along racial lines, the outcome could pose a problem for Democrats in the general election.

Those troubles would be dwarfed, however, if Harris actually won the nomination and faced a stronger Republican candidate than Donald Trump, without his trainload of baggage.

If Biden does run again, he's probably stuck with Harris. Democrats have painted themselves into this corner. For decades, they have mobilized voters with identity politics. They have highlighted group differences and amplified their grievances. As Joe Biden once told a black audience, they "want to put y'all back in chains." Now, that rabid dogma threatens to bite its owner.


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posted by Ace at 06:05 PM

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