Michigan Poll: Trump 47, Biden 45

It's a Trafalgar Group poll, which I believe is a Republican aligned group, but they got these swing states right in 2016.

Thanks to Menack, who said something about a "preference cascade."

Oh, and it gets better: A new study indicates that, pace claims made by pollsters and the leftist media, pollsters have not, as they've claimed, managed to change their methodology to make sure all of Trump's voters are being surveyed.

In fact, they're still missing "shy Trump voters." Meaning the polls understate Trump's support.

A new online study finds that Republicans and independents are twice as likely as Democrats to say they would not give their true opinion in a telephone poll question about their preference for president in the 2020 election. That raises the possibility that polls understate support for President Donald Trump.

Some 11.7% of Republicans and 10.5% independents said they would not give their true opinion, vs. 5.4% of Democrats, according to the study by CloudResearch LLC, a Queens, N.Y.-based company that conducts online market research and data collection for clients. Among the reasons they gave was that "it's dangerous to express an opinion outside of the current liberal viewpoint," according to Leib Litman, the co-chief executive officer and chief research officer.

...

Typically, the AAPOR study found, "those who admit changing their minds more or less wash out, breaking about evenly between the Republican candidate and the Democratic candidate. " Not in 2016, though: People who changed their answers when called back after the election had voted for Trump by a 16-percentage-point margin.

A note to the lunatics of the left:

Real life is not Twitter, assholes.

And real fights, you will come to know, are not like Twitter fights.

posted by Ace at 01:52 PM

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