Sponsored Content




Intermarkets' Privacy Policy
Support


Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!



Recent Entries
Absent Friends
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021
Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups





















NFL Slump Continues, Bud Light Fires Fat Liberal Pitchmen, ESPN Loses Record Number of Subscribers: Is a Wave Building? | Main | World Series Game 6 [BCochran]
November 01, 2016

Trump Jumps to Seven Point Lead in North Carolina

A commenter asked if Trump keeps Romney's map (including AZ and UT, which are in play) and adds OH, FL, and NC, would he win?

Answer: No. Alas, that used to be enough to win the White House for Republicans, but now we need at least one other state. Either a big state like Pennsylvania (or Wisconsin, or Michigan) or we could thread the needle by picking up Nevada, plus two spare electors from the single-electoral-vote districts in Maine and New Hampshire.

Any single failure in any of this is a failure overall; unlike Clinton, who has many ways to win (winning any of these contested states would put the election out of Trump's hands), Trump is down to very few paths, and all of them are uphill climbs.

That said, a single poll showing Trump winning North Carolina now by 7 -- 51-44 -- is certainly reason for hope. If there is a break for Trump, it's gotta start somewhere, right?

And on the possibility of winning in Pennsylvania:

One recent poll puts Trump barely ahead. Just barely. Note this same poll shows a tie between Trump and Clinton in North Carolina at 46/46, so who knows:



There is some cause for hope if you're given over to such things. I think a friend put it best when he said he was "cautiously pessimistic" about Trump's chances. That's about where I'm at.


digg this
posted by Ace at 06:59 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
Village Idiot's Apprentice: ""Maybe I'll try the nematodes." I have heard go ..."

San Franpsycho: "Are they cocaine raccoons? 'Cause they're the wors ..."

Ben Had: "fd, no waffles today? ..."

fd: "It's a fast day for me too. Rallycross at 10:00. I ..."

https://pgplay88.sgp1.cdn.digitaloceanspaces.com/index.html: "Ahaa, its good dialogue regarding this paragraph h ..."

San Franpsycho: "To all Jewish Morons: Have an easy fast tonight. ..."

Ben Had: "Good morning to all.of you that enjoy watching th ..."

San Franpsycho: "https://tinyurl.com/b4ek5dm3 Thanks I've applied ..."

fd: "mornin yall. How about that LL Jay Cool? Do you th ..."

rhennigantx: "Happy Sunday ..."

I am the Shadout Mapes, the Housekeeper: "To all Jewish Morons: Have an easy fast tonight. ..."

beeg: "An impressive share! I have just forwarded this on ..."

Recent Entries
Search


Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64