Official State Department Travel Warning: If You're Ugly, Be Very Suspicious of Swarthy Foreign Hustlers Trying to Con You Into Buying Them Drinks, Because, Like We Were Saying Earlier, You're Ugly And Why Would Someone Be Interested In You, Uggo? | Main | Is There Any White Knight That Can Emerge From the Shadows at the Convention?
March 31, 2016

Trump's Narrow Path to 1,237

It seems most likely he will not actually make it.

And losing Wisconsin -- where the latest poll has him down 40-30 to Cruz -- would make his difficult road even steeper.

One interesting thing from The Hill article -- in four of the remaining states, most delegates are elected by primary voters, but by state party officials.

Four states out of the remaining 20 break from the traditional primaries and caucuses held elsewhere by sending unbound delegates to the national convention.

These contests will test the organizational strength of the candidates.

Colorado, Wyoming, North Dakota and Pennsylvania will either send unbound delegates to the convention, or will elect delegates who have already declared a preference for one of the candidates.

That puts the onus on the candidates to get their supporters elected to the national convention in those states.

So far, Cruz has proven most adept at this.

For instance, Trump won the popular vote in Louisiana, but Cruz might take home more delegates, having succeeded in winning over the five unbound delegates from the state.

It's possible that scenario could play out similarly in Pennsylvania, where party activists will elect 54 of the state's 71 delegates.

I had thought that Pennsylvania would likely go Trump, with Kasich dividing up the non-Trump vote with Cruz. It's possible that Cruz (or Kasich, frankly) could win the lion's share of the votes here.

Meanwhile, in Wisconsin, Trump's SuperPAC is going to work on Cruz, claiming he favors "amnesty" for Syrian refugees.



digg this
posted by Ace at 02:14 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
eleven: "Do you have enough banana pudding for the whole cl ..."

BackwardsBoy[/i][/s][/b][/u]: "[i]When he was in Boy Scouts, one of the leaders t ..."

Jane D'oh: "Good grief.  We are co-hosting the first oyst ..."

eleven: "[i]That's too bad - she had a "look".[/i] rig ..."

steevy: "Sandra Locke did not have kind things to say about ..."

Ben Had: "Christmas for the press, take an old , cold tater ..."

Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars (TM) [/b][/i][/s][/u]: "[i] 278 Clint Eastwood's Ex-Girlfriend, Oscar Nom ..."

eleven: "Sondra was hittable. ..."

Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars (TM) [/b][/i][/s][/u]: "[i] stacey abrams is the lesbian stay puft marshm ..."

Calm Mentor: "As stupid as she is, she still violated no rule si ..."

SMOD: "Clint Eastwood's Ex-Girlfriend, Oscar Nominee Sond ..."

eleven: "[i]Who chose that Form of the Destructor? Posted ..."

Recent Entries
Search


Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64