Wisconsin Poll: Cruz 36, Trump 35

That's a statistical tie, but pretty good for Cruz. Especially given that Walker is deciding whether to endorse him or Kasich (who is at 19%).

Not only that, but Cruz is only one point behind Hillary in Wisconsin in a general election head to head. Trump -- who's going to electrify blue collar Democrat votes, and thereby "Expand the map" -- is nine points down to both Hillary and Sanders in Wisconsin:

. In a statewide Emerson College poll released today, Texas Senator Ted Cruz is not only leading Trump 36% to 35% in the upcoming primary, but Cruz is only trailing Hillary Clinton by one point in a hypothetical general election matchup, 46% to 45%.

In contrast, Trump is trailing both Clinton and her Democratic rival, Bernie Sanders, by the same 9-point margin of 47% to 38% in a potential general election match-up.

Trump, the natural political genius who is doing nothing but #Winning because of his Good Brain who went to Wharton and built all these beautiful companies, oddly finds himself in a terrible political position with all sorts of key blocs:

In the GOP primary, Ohio Governor John Kasich finishes far behind Cruz (36%) and Trump (35%), with 19% of the vote. It appears that Kasich is pulling votes from Cruz as Kasich supporters find Cruz more favorable than Trump, 36% to 27%. Although Trump is roughly even in his favorable/unfavorable numbers with likely GOP male voters (50/47), he is 10 points under water with GOP women (40/50) and net -28 (33/61) with Independents, who comprise one-third of the Wisconsin electorate.

In contrast, Cruz has a +32 favorability with Republican men (64/32), +26 with women (58/32), and +4 (48/44) with Independents.

So obviously this is our guy.

A national Fox Poll puts Trump ahead by 3, 41-38, over Cruz.

Update: That last poll is a national poll, not one of Wisconsin.

posted by Ace at 12:24 PM

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