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March 17, 2016

Reuters Poll: Half of All US Women Have "Very Unfavorable" View of Trump

The "mother of all gender gaps," Ed Morrissey calls it.

And no, he's not making up for it with appeal to men.

Half of U.S. women say they have a "very unfavorable" view of the front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling, up from the 40 percent who felt that way in October. The survey was taken from March 1-15, and included 5,400 respondents.

...

Trump does not have a similar image problem with men. The Reuters/Ipsos polling results showed that just 36 percent of men said they have a "very unfavorable" opinion of Trump, a level that has held steady in recent months....


If the GOP frontrunner were to run against Democratic hopeful Hillary Clinton in the general election, likely women voters would support Clinton over Trump by nearly 14 percentage points, according to the March polling data. Among men, Clinton would win by about 5 percentage points.

Among Republican women, Trump has a 60% favorable rating. But among all women, it's 50% very unfavorable.

Obviously you write off the 40% of Democrats; they're a lost cause, and it really doesn't matter how much they hate you. (Well, it does a little: if they really hate you, they turn out with higher intensity to vote against you.)

But half of women having not just an unfavorable impression but a "very" unfavorable impression must extend into the independent voters that usually vote GOP.

As Trump would say:

Not the best, not the best. A real mess. Just terrible!

(And now I'm sure I'll get a lot of comments from the emotionally incontinent who, like children, throw angry, red-faced tantrums when they find out the world isn't the way they would wish it to be.)

Perspective: Laurie David's Cervix posts this:

Gallup 2012

President Barack Obama won the two-party vote among female voters in the 2012 election by 12 points, 56% to 44%, over Republican challenger Mitt Romney.

http://tinyurl.com/c5kbgev

NB4 a 2 point difference, 8 months out, is statistically significant -- one might even say yuuge.

Well, I guess.

It should also be noted, though, that the two-points-worse thing is still worse.

And also, Mitt Romney did better with men than Trump, too. Mitt Romney was +8, whereas this poll shows Trump at +5.

Anyway, if you were banking on Trump's abandonment of the pro-life position (come on, everyone knows he's pro-choice) as getting him more votes with women -- not so much. His other negatives kind of ruin that possibility.


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posted by Ace at 11:40 AM

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