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March 15, 2016

If Trump Wins Big Today, It's All But Over

Cruz could still have life if he does well in Missouri and Illinois.

But if Trump wins all five states tonight, he could pretty much have the thing won, even assuming Cruz begins winning 55-45 from here on out.

The good news for Cruz is that he's close in Illinois (behind by either 4 or 9) and Missouri (by 7).

The general rule is that Trump either performs at his poll level or underperforms a little, whereas Cruz routinely overperforms his polls (due to his top-of-the-class turnout operation).

Bluff or Real? Marco Rubio says that even if he loses Florida, it won't alter his campaign at all, because nobody is on pace to get 1237 votes anyway.

Well, except Trump, the guy you say you'd do anything to stop, but "anything" turns out to be only "keep doing what you've been doing to get yourself a new job."

posted by Ace at 01:09 PM

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The general rule is that Trump either performs at his poll level or underperforms a little, whereas Cruz routinely overperforms his polls (due to his top-of-the-class turnout operation). Bluff or Real? Marco Rubio says that even if he loses Florida, it won't alter his campaign at all, because nobody is on pace to get 1237 votes anyway. Well, except Trump, the guy you say you'd do anything to stop, but "anything" turns out to be only "keep doing what you've been doing to get yourself a new job." posted by Ace at 01:09 PM \| Access Comments <script language="javascript" src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/addyn/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=700;cookie=info;target=_blank;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]"></script><noscript><a href="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adlink/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" target="_blank"><img src="http://adserver.adtechus.com/adserv/3.0/5235/1131537/0/170/ADTECH;loc=300;key=key1+key2+key3+key4;grp=[group]" border="0" width="300" height="250"></a></noscript>	Recent Comments [/i][/b]andycanuck (hovnC)[/s][/u]: "Maral Salmassi @MaralSalmassi Despite claims made ..." jimmymcnulty: "Are Australian pizzas served upside down. Asking ..." Viggo Tarasov: "Hey, that tweezer thing can really pluck someone u ..." 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