Intermarkets' Privacy Policy
Support


Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!



Recent Entries
Absent Friends
Bandersnatch 2024
GnuBreed 2024
Captain Hate 2023
moon_over_vermont 2023
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021
Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups






















« DECISION DESK NOW CALLS MAINE FOR CRUZ AS WELL
Cruz Officially Wins, Getting 12 Delegates; Trump 9, Kasich 2, Rubio 0
| Main | Overnight Open Thread (5 Mar 2016) »
March 05, 2016

Trump Barely Edges Cruz in Kentucky in Louisiana; Comparison of LA Early Voting Vs. Today's Voting Shows Major Shift to Cruz; Wins Night, 64 Delegates to Trump's 49

64 delegates won by Cruz on the night, 49 for Trump.


With Louisville going narrowly for Trump, 30-28%, I guess Decision Desk decided there was no longer enough vote outstanding for Cruz to overcome Trump's slim 4-point lead statewide. So it looks like both KY and LA will go to Trump with fairly narrow margins (4 points).

Rubio is not even in the conversation, nor is Kasich.

It seems unlikely that Rubio or Kasich will drop out before their states vote in 10 days, but it does seem like anyone with a brain in their heads should realize that votes for either of these men are wasted votes, and effectively votes in favor of Trump.

Rubio and his diehards continue to babble that the "map really looks good for Rubio going forward." Apparently the map yet to come is completely different from the 22 states, scattered in all regions of the country except the far west, that have already voted.

But there's some hidden, secret Rubio Remnant hiding out there in states completely different from all of these: Texas, Maine, Oklahoma, New Hampshire, Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama, Vermont, South Carolina, Kentucky, Louisiana, Arkansas, Kansas, Iowa, Alaska...

What states could possibly be so different from these that Rubio is going to suddenly zoom up from his 8-14% level?

Cruz is lately averaging from the thirties to forties -- previously, a Trumpian level of domination.

No one except Cruz has posted such big tallies -- has anyone but Cruz and Trump broken the 30% level, anywhere?

Upon what possible basis, except for fantasy, can one postulate that Rubio is, as usual, just 'round the corner from breaking through?

There are now two tiers in this race -- Trump/Cruz, and in the second tier, Rubio/Kasich. His numbers at the Kasich level, sometimes below them.

The Big Mo:


Note that while Trump will win these two states, the margins will be small.

This may or may not happen:


The "Trump the Phenomenon" phase of the campaign is officially over. He's squeaking by Ted Cruz now -- either Trump's not a phenomenon, or Cruz is also one. You can't make a "Trump the Phenomenon" case on 4% margin of victory.

Rubio's Win is Cruz's Gain: Little doubt about it that it was Rubio's belittling of Trump that got into Trump's head and caused Trump to get really weird in the debate.

Can't lie; that's Rubio's doing. It's not just that he blew himself up in taking Trump down a peg. Just the way it works out sometimes.



digg this
posted by Ace at 09:17 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
Mr Aspirin Factory, garbage human: "I would expect a few random outages as the utility ..."

Bebe Ives: "Woman B: I think looking at porn has certainly des ..."

Anonymous Rogue in Kalifornistan (ARiK): "Any minute now...... ..."

Alberta Oil Peon: " Shit. Power just went down. Posted by: Mike Hamm ..."

Joe Kidd: "364 And scoping out your fire lanes. It might ma ..."

[/i][/b]andycanuck (hovnC)[/s][/u]: "Cleanup needed before you retire for the night, We ..."

Eromero: "362 But how many self-defense engagements take pla ..."

Mike Hammer, etc., etc.: "Shit. Power just went down. ..."

Verna Sapp: "In 2004, Justin Timberlake was onstage and perform ..."

[/i][/b]andycanuck (hovnC)[/s][/u]: "But how many self-defense engagements take place a ..."

Mirta Bassett: "Variety pointed out that, "Anderson, exhibiting so ..."

Joe Kidd: "Had a three hour phone call with my kid sister. S ..."

Recent Entries
Search


Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64