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February 16, 2016

Are We Headed For Another Global Crash?

Signs point to Yes.

The other pillar of the global economy besides China, the U.S., is also now showing signs of weakness. Maybe not a recession, yet. But growth was a weak 0.7 annually during the fourth quarter. Factory output has declined.

Though unemployment has dropped, wages have not recovered quickly and companies appear to be unsettled by the global jitters.

A rising dollar -- a side effect of expected Fed interest rate increases -- could hurt exporters. That's one reason the Fed may in fact hold off raising rates again soon.

Having shot all possible monetary and fiscal stimulus bullets the past eight years, governments and central banks are nearly out of options. Except for one -- negative interest rates. People don't know quite white negative interest rates will do since there's been very little experimentation with them, but they're quickly becoming the "new abnormal" throughout the West.


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posted by Ace at 12:58 PM

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